CFP Pulse.
The 2025-26 College Football Playoff, complete. Twelve teams, eleven games, one champion — Indiana. Below is the final 12-team bracket with the BBMI model’s frozen pre-tournament odds, graded against the real results. This is a completed-season record, not a live projection.
✓ 2025 CFP complete — Indiana wins the National ChampionshipHow to read this: the percentage on each slot is the BBMI model’s pre-tournament win probability from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (Indiana entered at 51.2% to win it all — the only team above 13%). Scores, winners, and the ✓/✗ BBMI grade are the real outcomes. Nothing here updates — it’s frozen at the final whistle.
Pre-tournament title odds
Frozen · 10,000 sims before Round 1| Team | Seed | Title odds | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
 Indiana | 1 | 51.2% | Champion |
 Georgia | 3 | 12.8% | — |
 Texas Tech | 4 | 9.1% | — |
 Oregon | 5 | 7.3% | — |
 Ole Miss | 6 | 6.7% | — |
 Miami (FL) | 10 | 6.0% | Runner-up |
 Ohio State | 2 | 4.9% | — |
 Oklahoma | 8 | 1.3% | — |
 Texas A&M | 7 | 0.3% | — |
 Alabama | 9 | 0.2% | — |
 James Madison | 12 | 0.1% | — |
 Tulane | 11 | 0.0% | — |
Title odds are the BBMI model’s pre-tournament simulation (frozen before the first game). The bracket above shows how it actually played out — Indiana, the 51.2% favorite, won; Miami (FL), a 10-seed at 6.0%, was the surprise finalist.