NCAA Football · Playoff Pulse

College Football Playoff

12-team bracket with BBMI win probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.

✔ 2025 CFP Complete — Indiana wins the National Championship
8/11
BBMI Correct
73% across all games
5/5
High-Edge (≥5)
100% win rate
Indiana
2025 Champion
51.2% sim prob · BBMI ✓
Methodology: Win probabilities shown on each slot are pre-tournament BBMI simulation results (10,000 runs). Indiana entered as a heavy favorite at 51.2% to win the title — the only team above 13%. Actual results and BBMI pick accuracy shown after games completed.
College Football Playoff 2025 — 12-Team Bracket
First Round
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Fiesta Bowl · Dec 21
12James Madison
34
5Oregon
51◀
BBMI: Oregonedge 2✓ WIN
Rose Bowl · Dec 20
9Alabama
34◀
8Oklahoma
24
BBMI: Oklahomaedge 3✗ LOSS
Sugar Bowl · Dec 20
11Tulane
10
6Ole Miss
41◀
BBMI: Ole Missedge 1✓ WIN
Cotton Bowl · Dec 20
10Miami (FL)
10◀
7Texas A&M
3
BBMI: Miami (FL)edge 12.5✓ WIN
Orange Bowl · Jan 1
5Oregon
23◀
4Texas Tech
0
BBMI: Oregonedge 2✓ WIN
Rose Bowl · Jan 1
9Alabama
3
1Indiana
38◀
BBMI: Indianaedge 12✓ WIN
Sugar Bowl · Jan 2
6Ole Miss
39◀
3Georgia
34
BBMI: Georgiaedge 4.5✗ LOSS
Cotton Bowl · Jan 1
10Miami (FL)
24◀
2Ohio State
14
BBMI: Miami (FL)edge 10✓ WIN
Peach Bowl · Jan 10
5Oregon
22
1Indiana
56◀
BBMI: Indianaedge 5.5✓ WIN
Fiesta Bowl · Jan 9
6Ole Miss
27
10Miami (FL)
31◀
BBMI: Ole Missedge 3.5✗ LOSS
National Championship · Jan 20
10Miami (FL)
21
1Indiana
27◀
BBMI: Indianaedge 7✓ WIN
✓ WIN BBMI correct✗ LOSS BBMI incorrect51.2% BBMI sim probability◀ Game winner
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