BBMI Rank · #53 of 136
San Diego State
Record 9-4Mountain WestPower rating 21.3
Quality wins
-2.7
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #90SP+ Off
24.4
90th
YPP diff
+1.13
46th
TO margin
-0.30
69th
Defense
SP+ #28SP+ Def
19.6
28th
Q-Wins
-2.7
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.8
6th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27 | 1 | N North Texas#31 | L 47–49 | San Diego State +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 28 | 14 | @ New Mexico#52 | L 17–23 | San Diego State +3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | vs San Jose State#114 | W 25–3 | San Diego State -20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 16 | 12 | vs Boise State#51 | W 17–7 | San Diego State -5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 9 | 11 | @ Hawaii#46 | L 6–38 | San Diego State +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Wyoming#107 | W 24–7 | San Diego State -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Fresno State#36 | W 23–0 | San Diego State +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 12 | 7 | @ Nevada#113 | W 44–10 | San Diego State -11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Colorado State#125 | W 45–24 | San Diego State -23.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Northern Illinois#115 | W 6–3 | San Diego State -10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | vs California#66 | W 34–0 | San Diego State -9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 7 | 2 | @ Washington State#58 | L 13–36 | San Diego State +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs SBS Stony Brook Seawolves | W 42–0 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.