BBMI Rank · #72 of 138
San Diego State
Record 0-0Pac-12Power rating 19.5
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #93SP+ Off
23.1
93rd
YPP diff
0.00
72nd
TO margin
0.00
72nd
Defense
SP+ #59SP+ Def
25.0
59th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.6
10th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Portland State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ UCLA#46 | +8.5 | San Diego State +8.5 | 33% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs James Madison#76 | -3 | San Diego State -3 | 56% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ Toledo#111 | -8 | San Diego State -8 | 67% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Texas State#89 | -6.5 | San Diego State -6.5 | 64% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Oregon State#94 | -3 | San Diego State -3 | 56% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs Fresno State#82 | -3 | San Diego State -3 | 56% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Colorado State#102 | -5 | San Diego State -5 | 61% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Washington State#88 | -6 | San Diego State -6 | 63% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Utah State#97 | -8.5 | San Diego State -8.5 | 67% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Boise State#39 | +10 | San Diego State +10 | 29% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.