Team Pages/Pac-12/San Diego State
San Diego State logo
PAC-12 • 2026 SEASON

San Diego State

Record 3-5vs line 3–4 ATSLast L 49–56 at Colorado StateNext Oct 31 vs Washington State
#98
BBMI rank
+13.2
Rating
4.6–6.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Washington State logo
Washington State
#130 • +7.5 • Pac-12
SAT OCT 31 • 6:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
San Diego State
#98 • +13.2 • home
San Diego State logo
—
Model line
-2.5
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Portland State logovs Portland State
W 53–20
Sep 12
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 10–28#535–3125%
Sep 19
James Madison logovs James Madison
L 13–26#3019–3151%
Sep 26
Toledo logoat Toledo
L 16–41#6627–3248%
Oct 3
Texas State logovs Texas State
W 31–29#8231–3451%
Oct 10
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 14–66#4224–3017%
Oct 17
Fresno State logovs Fresno State
W 26–23#7521–2824%
Oct 24
Colorado State logoat Colorado State
L 49–56#11131–3053%
Oct 31
Washington State logovs Washington State
Sat 6:00 PM#130Premium
Nov 14
Utah State logovs Utah State
Sat#12073%†
Nov 21
Boise State logoat Boise State
Sat#193%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#70#80#90#100#110
#98
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Pac-120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.6
3456
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-4.1#104
Defense (pts vs avg)+5.7#110
Yards per play margin-0.75#126
Turnover margin-0.26#67
Strength of schedule-0.7#109

BBMI picks on San Diego State

2026 • ATS
1–3
Picks on San Diego State
2–1
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.