Team Pages/American Athletic/Navy
Navy logo
AMERICAN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

Navy

Record 2-5vs line 3–3 ATSLast L 39–49 vs North TexasNext Oct 31 at Notre Dame
#105
BBMI rank
+16.5
Rating
4.2–7.8
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Navy logo
Navy
#105 • +16.5 • American Athletic
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Notre Dame
#6 • +33.5 • neutral
Notre Dame logo
—
Model line
+30.5
Market line
—
Edge
2%
Outright win probability
Navy 2%Notre Dame 98%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Towson logovs Towson
W 42–15
Sep 12
Florida Atlantic logoat Florida Atlantic
L 30–38#8151–2255%
Sep 25
UAB logoat UAB
L 20–24#9129–2487%
Oct 3
Air Force logoat Air Force
L 9–14#6027–2924%
Oct 10
Tulsa logovs Tulsa
W 34–26#8423–2559%
Oct 17
UTSA logoat UTSA
L 34–38#2526–2632%
Oct 24
North Texas logovs North Texas
L 39–49#4929–2950%
Oct 31
Notre Dame logovs Notre Dame
Sat 11:00 AM#62%
Nov 7
Temple logovs Temple
Sat 2:30 PM#11261%
Nov 21
Memphis logovs Memphis
Sat#4430%†
Nov 28
Charlotte logoat Charlotte
Sat#13297%†
Dec 12
Army logovs Army
Sat#5530%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#70#80#90#100
#105
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win American Athletic0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.2
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+2.5#52
Defense (pts vs avg)+4.5#102
Yards per play margin-0.28#113
Turnover margin-0.81#104
Strength of schedule-0.3#82

BBMI picks on Navy

2026 • ATS
1–2
Picks on Navy
2–1
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.