Team Pages/Conference USA/Sam Houston State
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CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

Sam Houston State

Record 1-7vs line 2–5 ATSLast L 3–24 at Missouri StateNext Nov 7 at Jacksonville State
#137
BBMI rank
+9.8
Rating
2.1–9.9
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Sam Houston State logo
Sam Houston State
#137 • +9.8 • Conference USA
SAT NOV 7 • 6:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Jacksonville State
#57 • +19.1 • home
Jacksonville State logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
8%
Outright win probability
Sam Houston State 8%Jacksonville State 92%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Troy logoat Troy
L 21–24#1243%
Sep 12
Tulsa logovs Tulsa
L 17–23#8419–257%
Sep 19
Nicholls logovs Nicholls
W 59–0
Sep 26
Texas Tech logoat Texas Tech
L 14–49#1428–261%
Oct 8
Liberty logoat Liberty
L 3–35#3823–262%
Oct 14
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
L 3–16#11629–2551%
Oct 21
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
L 24–30#11422–2250%
Oct 27
Missouri State logoat Missouri State
L 3–24#12720–2927%
Nov 7
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
Sat 6:00 PM#578%
Nov 14
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
Sat#12254%†
Nov 21
Middle Tennessee logovs Middle Tennessee
Sat#10146%†
Nov 28
FIU logoat FIU
Sat#10911%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#115#120#125#130#135
#137
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 3 to #137, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Conference USA0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
2.1
01234
Middle half of the simulations: 2 to 3 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 1 to 3. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-12.6#132
Defense (pts vs avg)+5.7#111
Yards per play margin-0.25#109
Turnover margin-0.49#86
Strength of schedule-0.6#103

BBMI picks on Sam Houston State

2026 • ATS
0–2
Picks on Sam Houston State
2–3
Picks against
-3.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.