NFL · Week 8 · SpreadsPremium pick · free
KC @ DEN
Sun, Nov 1 · 3:25 PM CT
+3.29
Edge, pts
Denver Broncos +1.5
BBMI DEN -1.8Market DEN +1.5
2026 Premium spreads: -14.7% ROI · 21-26
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Independent sports models · NFL W8 / NCAAF W9 / MLB World Series / WNBA Finals
This week’s picks, across every sport in season.
Game forecasts, player projections and a public record. Start with the free picks. Premium opens the full pregame board.
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NFL · Week 8 · TotalsPremium pick · free
PHI @ WAS
Sun, Nov 1 · 7:20 PM CT
+5.66
Edge, pts
Over 40.0
BBMI total 45.7Market total 40.0
2026 Premium totals: +9.8% ROI · 23-17
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NCAAF · Week 9 · SpreadsPremium pick · free
STAN @ LOU
Sat, Oct 31 · 2:15 PM CT
+9.6
Edge, pts
LOU -22.5
BBMI LOU -32.1Market LOU -22.5
2026 Premium spreads: +0.8% ROI · 67-60
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13 more picksAcross the current NFL and NCAAF boards.
Player projectionsNFL and NCAAF game breakdowns before kickoff.
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See plans →Last week’s fantasy projections
Compare projected fantasy points by position, then open the player’s full statistical breakdown.
Premium members see this week’s rankings before kickoff. Below: last week’s pregame projections and what each player scored.
NFL · Week 7
Projected vs actual| # | Player | Pos | Opp | Proj | Actual | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs DET RB | RB | vs GB | 28.3 | 17.3 | |
| 2 | Puka Nacua LA WR | WR | @ LV | 23.7 | 21.8 | |
| 3 | Christian McCaffrey SF RB | RB | @ ATL | 23.3 | 22.0 | |
| 4 | Bijan Robinson ATL RB | RB | vs SF | 23.2 | 17.2 | |
| 5 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA WR | WR | vs KC | 19.3 | 31.3 | |
| 6 | D'Andre Swift CHI RB | RB | vs NE | 19.0 | 19.0 | |
| 7 | Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR | WR | vs GB | 18.9 | 24.2 | |
| 8 | George Kittle SF TE | TE | @ ATL | 18.6 | 14.8 | |
| 9 | Kyren Williams LA RB | RB | @ LV | 17.3 | 18.1 | |
| 10 | Woody Marks HOU RB | RB | vs NYG | 17.1 | 9.1 |
Compare players
Loading all players…Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET
Projected PPR28.3
Actual PPR17.3
Puka Nacua WR · LA
Projected PPR23.7
Actual PPR21.8
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected 4.5 PPR higher before kickoff.
| Proj, actual | Gibbs | Nacua |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 23.529 | — |
| Rushing yds | 114.4116 | — |
| Receptions | 4.45 | 8.58 |
| Receiving yds | 41.727 | 107.068 |
| Rushing TD | 1.20 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.20 | 0.71 |
| Targets | — | 11.410 |
Scoring and methodology
Fantasy points: 1 per reception; 1 per 25 passing yards; 4 per passing TD; 1 per 10 rushing/receiving yards; 6 per rushing/receiving TD; -2 per interception or lost fumble. Calculated from unrounded projections. Excludes two-point conversions, return/recovery TDs and bonuses, which are not modeled for individual players.
The difference is between the two players’ projected fantasy points, each the average of the simulated games. It is not a probability that either outscores the other.
Ranked by projected fantasy points among the players each game breakdown covers: in the NFL the QB, top two RBs, top two WRs and top TE per team; in NCAAF the QB, top RB and top two WRs.
2026 Premium betting record · All sports
Premium betting record by sport
Snapshot: October 29, 2026 · record types and grading details in the full report.
- Pick-weighted ROI
- +12.0%
- Win rate
- 60.5%
- Graded picks
- 4,243
| Sport | Season | ROI | Record (W-L-P) | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAA Basketball | 2025-26 | +20.0% | 1,052-622-0 | 1,674 |
| NCAA Football | 2026 | +0.8% | 67-60-0 | 127 |
| NCAA Baseball | 2026 | +10.7% | 730-530-0 | 1,260 |
| MLB | 2026 | +3.7% | 648-405-42 | 1,095 |
| NFL | 2026 | -3.4% | 44-43-0 | 87 |
| All sports | 2026 seasons | +12.0% | 2,541-1,660-42 | 4,243 |
Record = wins-losses-pushes. ROI combines profit and stakes across included products, using posted prices where recorded and the published -110 convention otherwise. Win rate excludes pushes.
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