Team Pages/FBS Independents/Connecticut
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FBS INDEPENDENTS • 2026 SEASON

Connecticut

Record 4-3vs line 4–2 ATSLast W 35–16 vs MassachusettsNext Oct 31 at Air Force
#78
BBMI rank
+20.6
Rating
6.4–5.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Connecticut logo
Connecticut
#78 • +20.6 • FBS Independents
SAT OCT 31 • 2:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Air Force
#60 • +20.0 • home
Air Force logo
—
Model line
+1.5
Market line
—
Edge
44%
Outright win probability
Connecticut 44%Air Force 56%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Lafayette logovs Lafayette
W 56–7
Sep 12
Maryland logovs Maryland
L 14–38#10430–3525%
Sep 19
Southern Miss logoat Southern Miss
W 48–20#12630–2766%
Sep 26
Miami (OH) logoat Miami (OH)
L 21–24#7631–2438%
Oct 3
Syracuse logovs Syracuse
L 41–42#8027–2843%
Oct 10
Temple logoat Temple
W 34–20#11227–2451%
Oct 23
Massachusetts logovs Massachusetts
W 35–16#11329–1879%
Oct 31
Air Force logoat Air Force
Sat 2:00 PM#6044%
Nov 7
North Carolina logovs North Carolina
Sat 11:00 AM#4649%
Nov 14
James Madison logovs James Madison
Sat#3025%†
Nov 21
Old Dominion logovs Old Dominion
Sat#12188%†
Nov 28
Wyoming logoat Wyoming
Sat#8640%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#80#90#100
#78
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #78, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win FBS Independents0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
6.4
456789
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+2.7#51
Defense (pts vs avg)+2.7#88
Yards per play margin+1.56#36
Turnover margin+0.17#38
Strength of schedule+0.1#59

BBMI picks on Connecticut

2026 • ATS
3–1
Picks on Connecticut
1–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.