DATA-DRIVEN SPORTS INSIGHTS
Better Models. Smarter Picks.
Built by an actuary, BBMI’s transparent, probability-driven models find edges before the market moves. Every pick is locked before the game, graded in public, and kept on the record.
Data-driven models
Thousands of simulations power our probabilistic projections.
Verified performance
Every pick is graded in public. Nothing is hidden.
Market awareness
We compare our numbers to the market to find real edges.
Research first
Continuous testing and validation keep our models sharp.
This week’s predictions
View all picks →Week 2 · Sep 8 to 13 · one free pick per product, every week
MATCHUPMARKETEDGELINE
EMU @ MSUSat 2:30 PM CT
SpreadsFREE
+13.4
MSU -15.5
ARIZ @ BYUSat 2:30 PM CT
SpreadsPREMIUM ★
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UNLV @ UNTSat 2:45 PM CT
SpreadsPREMIUM ★
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USA @ TULNSat 6:00 PM CT
SpreadsPREMIUM ★
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WSU @ KSUSat 11:00 AM CT
SpreadsPREMIUM
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ODU @ VTSat 11:00 AM CT
SpreadsPREMIUM ★
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MTSU @ MRSHSat 6:00 PM CT
SpreadsPREMIUM
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The Record
Full record →AGAINST THE SPREAD · PREMIUM · EDGE ≥ 6 PTS
87.5%
Win rate · 95% CI 52.9–97.8%
+67.1%
ROI · flat 1u at −110
7-1
Record · 8 decided
44%break-even 52.4%100%
WIN RATE · CUMULATIVE · BY WEEKWin rateBreak-even
50%60%70%80%90%
87.5%
2026
2026
BBMI vs Vegas: 845 games, walk-forward graded (2025 season) · winner accuracy 69.7% vs 74.1%BBMI vs Vegas →
Current research
View all →METHODOLOGYCan You Beat Vegas? The September ScoreboardSep 8PREVIEWEleven Gone to the NFL: Ohio State 2026Aug 20PREVIEWEverything But the Trophy: Oregon 2026Aug 18PREVIEWSixteen-and-Oh, Then the NFL Came Calling: Indiana's 2026 Season, by the NumbersAug 16PREVIEWNew Sideline, Same Franchise QB: Michigan 2026Aug 8
NCAAF Power Rankings
Full rankings →Preseason board
TOP OF THE BOARD
1
Ohio State+37.7
Ohio State+37.72
Oregon+36.8
Oregon+36.83
Notre Dame+35.6
Notre Dame+35.64
Georgia+34.5
Georgia+34.5BIG TEN · PROJ. RECORD
1Oregon10–2
Oregon10–22
Indiana10–2
Indiana10–23Ohio State10–2
Ohio State10–24
Penn State9–3
Penn State9–3Playoff Pulse
View all →Preseason · 10,000 sims
PROJECTED 12-TEAM FIELD
1Ohio Stateauto
Ohio Stateauto2Oregonat-large
Oregonat-large3Notre Dameat-large
Notre Dameat-largeWIN THE TITLE
1Ohio State28.0%
Ohio State28.0%2Oregon18.3%
Oregon18.3%3Notre Dame12.8%
Notre Dame12.8%Research delivered to your inbox
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Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.