BBMI Rank · #41 of 138
Virginia
Record 0-0ACCPower rating 23.8
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #62SP+ Off
26.3
62nd
YPP diff
0.00
41st
TO margin
0.00
41st
Defense
SP+ #27SP+ Def
19.9
27th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.2
55th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs NC State#47 | -3.5 | Virginia -3.5 | 58% |
| Sep 11 | 2 | vs Norfolk State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | N West Virginia#63 | -6 | Virginia -6 | 62% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Delaware#113 | -21.5 | Virginia -21.5 | 88% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Florida State#35 | +4 | Virginia +4 | 41% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs Syracuse#69 | -9.5 | Virginia -9.5 | 69% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ SMU#29 | +6.5 | Virginia +6.5 | 37% |
| Oct 23 | 8 | vs Duke#43 | -3 | Virginia -3 | 56% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | @ Wake Forest#59 | -1 | Virginia -1 | 52% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs California#55 | -5 | Virginia -5 | 60% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs North Carolina#56 | -5 | Virginia -5 | 60% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Virginia Tech#33 | +5 | Virginia +5 | 40% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.