Team Pages/ACC/Virginia
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ACC • 2026 SEASON

Virginia

Record 4-4vs line 3–4 ATSLast L 16–19 vs DukeNext Oct 31 at Wake Forest
#83
BBMI rank
+19.9
Rating
6.1–5.9
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
Virginia logo
Virginia
#83 • +19.9 • ACC
SAT OCT 31 • 2:45 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Wake Forest
#13 • +26.2 • home
Wake Forest logo
—
Model line
+12.5
Market line
—
Edge
17%
Outright win probability
Virginia 17%Wake Forest 83%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
NC State logovs NC State
W 34–8#8826–2670%
Sep 11
Norfolk State logovs Norfolk State
W 59–3
Sep 19
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 27–38#5129–2380%
Sep 26
Delaware logovs Delaware
W 42–3#10728–2398%
Oct 3
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 7–38#7130–2374%
Oct 10
Syracuse logovs Syracuse
W 28–25#8030–2892%
Oct 17
SMU logoat SMU
L 13–23#2127–2638%
Oct 23
Duke logovs Duke
L 16–19#4325–2356%
Oct 31
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
Sat 2:45 PM#1317%
Nov 14
California logovs California
Sat#8994%†
Nov 21
North Carolina logovs North Carolina
Sat#4675%†
Nov 28
Virginia Tech logoat Virginia Tech
Sat#4523%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#20#40#60#80
#83
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #83, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win ACC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
6.1
45678
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+0.5#65
Defense (pts vs avg)-4.4#36
Yards per play margin-0.56#119
Turnover margin-0.27#68
Strength of schedule+0.3#53

BBMI picks on Virginia

2026 • ATS
2–4
Picks on Virginia
1–0
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.