Team Pages/Big Ten/Minnesota
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BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Minnesota

Record 5-2vs line 2–4 ATSLast W 13–10 vs IowaNext Oct 31 at Indiana
#47
BBMI rank
+22.6
Rating
6.4–5.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
Minnesota logo
Minnesota
#47 • +22.6 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Indiana
#2 • +32.6 • home
Indiana logo
—
Model line
+20.5
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 3
Eastern Illinois logovs Eastern Illinois
W 59–7
Sep 12
Mississippi State logovs Mississippi State
L 13–38#3534–3364%
Sep 19
Akron logovs Akron
W 41–7#13527–2599%
Sep 26
Washington logoat Washington
W 27–24#6223–2222%
Oct 3
Michigan logovs Michigan
W 20–14#4821–1934%
Oct 10
Purdue logoat Purdue
L 13–41#5329–2384%
Oct 24
Iowa logovs Iowa
W 13–10#2917–2528%
Oct 31
Indiana logoat Indiana
Sat 2:30 PM#2Premium
Nov 7
UCLA logovs UCLA
Sat 11:00 PM#528%
Nov 14
Penn State logoat Penn State
Sat#7343%†
Nov 21
Northwestern logovs Northwestern
Sat#1840%†
Nov 27
Wisconsin logoat Wisconsin
Fri#3123%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#40#45#50#55
#47
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #47, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
6.4
456789
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-2.9#94
Defense (pts vs avg)-6.1#27
Yards per play margin+0.61#77
Turnover margin+0.48#26
Strength of schedule+1.9#1

BBMI picks on Minnesota

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Minnesota
0–2
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.

From the Research Desk

All research →
NCAAF · Season Preview

Row the Boat, Again: Minnesota's 2026 Season, by the Numbers

Minnesota is coming off 8–5 and a bowl win with almost everyone back — the coach, the quarterback, the star running back. BBMI grades the Gophers 50th nationally, 12th of 18 in the Big Ten, and a projected 7–5 that sits right on the six-win bowl line: about 6.0 expected wins, four true toss-ups, a defense reloading after losing an All-America safety to Oregon, and a fall of three rivalry trophies capped by an Axe game the model calls the closest on the schedule.

#50 nationally · 12th of 18 Big Ten · 7–5 base case · Axe ~53–47 MNJul 21 · 9 min
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.