Team Pages/Big Ten/Iowa
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BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Iowa

Record 2-0vs line 1–1 ATSLast W 16–13 vs Iowa StateNext Sep 19 vs Northern Iowa
#21
BBMI rank
+28.6
Rating
8.1–3.9
Proj record
17%
Make CFP
Northern Iowa logo
Northern Iowa
SAT SEP 19
published after kickoff
projected score
Iowa
#21 • +28.6home
Iowa logo
Model line
Market line
Edge
Win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
W 40–0#12499%
Sep 12
Iowa State logovs Iowa State
W 16–13#7623–1893%
Sep 19
Northern Iowa logovs Northern Iowa
Sat
Sep 26
Michigan logoat Michigan
Sat#1840%
Oct 3
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
Sat#115%
Oct 9
Washington logoat Washington
Fri#2043%
Oct 24
Minnesota logoat Minnesota
Sat#4573%
Oct 31
Wisconsin logovs Wisconsin
Sat#6491%
Nov 7
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
Sat#4768%
Nov 14
Purdue logovs Purdue
Sat#7494%
Nov 21
Illinois logoat Illinois
Sat#3054%
Nov 27
Nebraska logovs Nebraska
Fri#3275%

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 136
#18#19#20#21#22#23
#21
Sep 1Sep 8

2 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The rank held, measured against the ranking published Sep 7.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Win Big Ten1%
Make the 12-team field17%
Top-4 seed (bye)3%
Reach the semifinal3%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
8.1
567891011
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+5.1#35
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.3#16
Yards per play margin+3.23#22
Turnover margin+0.22#48
Strength of schedule+1.7#27

BBMI picks on Iowa

2026 • ATS
11
Picks on Iowa
00
Picks against
-0.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 2 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.