Team Pages/SEC/Mississippi State
Mississippi State logo
SEC • 2026 SEASON

Mississippi State

Record 4-3vs line 2–5 ATSLast L 15–23 vs OklahomaNext Oct 31 at Texas
#35
BBMI rank
+20.0
Rating
6.5–5.5
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Mississippi State logo
Mississippi State
#35 • +20.0 • SEC
SAT OCT 31 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Texas
#12 • +28.8 • home
Texas logo
—
Model line
+20.5
Market line
—
Edge
7%
Outright win probability
Mississippi State 7%Texas 93%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Louisiana Monroe logovs Louisiana Monroe
W 62–13#13199%
Sep 12
Minnesota logoat Minnesota
W 38–13#4733–3436%
Sep 19
South Carolina logoat South Carolina
W 41–34#3228–3217%
Sep 26
Missouri logovs Missouri
W 31–24#2831–2960%
Oct 3
Alabama logovs Alabama
L 23–56#1031–3332%
Oct 17
LSU logoat LSU
L 0–31#2030–3614%
Oct 24
Oklahoma logovs Oklahoma
L 15–23#3425–2355%
Oct 31
Texas logoat Texas
Sat 6:30 PM#127%
Nov 7
Vanderbilt logovs Vanderbilt
Sat 3:15 PM#9682%
Nov 14
Auburn logovs Auburn
Sat#3654%†
Nov 21
Tennessee Tech logovs Tennessee Tech
Sat
Nov 27
Ole Miss logoat Ole Miss
Fri#1511%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#10#20#30#40
#35
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win SEC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
456789
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+5.4#35
Defense (pts vs avg)+0.4#68
Yards per play margin+0.92#66
Turnover margin-1.21#123
Strength of schedule+0.2#56

BBMI picks on Mississippi State

2026 • ATS
1–2
Picks on Mississippi State
1–3
Picks against
-3.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.