BBMI Rank · #52 of 138
Mississippi State
Record 0-0SECPower rating 22.7
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #41SP+ Off
30.1
41st
YPP diff
0.00
52nd
TO margin
0.00
52nd
Defense
SP+ #75SP+ Def
26.7
75th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.5
21st
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs LM Louisiana Monroe#133 | -30 | Mississippi State -30 | 95% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Minnesota#50 | +3.5 | Mississippi State +3.5 | 43% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ South Carolina#24 | +10 | Mississippi State +10 | 29% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Missouri#20 | +9 | Mississippi State +9 | 32% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Alabama#11 | +12.5 | Mississippi State +12.5 | 25% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ LSU#10 | +18.5 | Mississippi State +18.5 | 16% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Oklahoma#12 | +11.5 | Mississippi State +11.5 | 27% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | @ Texas#6 | +22 | Mississippi State +22 | 12% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Vanderbilt#30 | +4 | Mississippi State +4 | 41% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Auburn#27 | +5.5 | Mississippi State +5.5 | 39% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Tennessee Tech | — | No line | — |
| Nov 27 | 13 | @ Ole Miss#15 | +14 | Mississippi State +14 | 23% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.