BBMI Rank · #72 of 136
Mississippi State
Record 5-8SECPower rating 18.7
Quality wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #42SP+ Off
31.6
42nd
YPP diff
-0.43
101st
TO margin
-0.32
71st
Defense
SP+ #84SP+ Def
29.0
84th
Q-Wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.5
19th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | 1 | N Wake Forest#55 | L 29–43 | Mississippi State +4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 28 | 14 | vs Ole Miss#5 | L 19–38 | Mississippi State +19.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 16 | 12 | @ Missouri#57 | L 27–49 | Mississippi State +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Georgia#3 | L 21–41 | Mississippi State +19.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Arkansas#85 | W 38–35 | Mississippi State -5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Texas#8 | L 38–45 | Mississippi State +16.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Florida#73 | L 21–23 | Mississippi State +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Texas A&M#20 | L 9–31 | Mississippi State +11.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Tennessee#59 | L 34–41 | Mississippi State +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Northern Illinois#115 | W 38–10 | Mississippi State -11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs ASB Alcorn State Braves | W 63–0 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Arizona State#69 | W 24–20 | Mississippi State -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Southern Miss#81 | W 34–17 | Mississippi State -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.