BBMI Rank · #95 of 136
Air Force
Record 4-8Mountain WestPower rating 15.2
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #61SP+ Off
28.3
61st
YPP diff
-0.84
114th
TO margin
-0.39
77th
Defense
SP+ #101SP+ Def
31.7
101st
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.2
68th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28 | 14 | @ Colorado State#125 | W 42–21 | Air Force -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 23 | 13 | vs New Mexico#52 | L 3–20 | Air Force +13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ C Connecticut#32 | L 16–26 | Air Force +20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ San Jose State#114 | W 26–16 | Air Force +2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Army#67 | L 17–20 | Air Force +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Wyoming#107 | W 24–21 | Air Force +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ UNLV#42 | L 48–51 | Air Force +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Navy#41 | L 31–34 | Air Force +12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Hawaii#46 | L 35–44 | Air Force +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Boise State#51 | L 37–49 | Air Force +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 14 | 3 | @ Utah State#70 | L 30–49 | Air Force +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs BB Bucknell Bison | W 49–13 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.