Team Pages/Mountain West/Air Force
Air Force logo
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

Air Force

Record 5-2vs line 5–0 ATSLast L 14–28 at WyomingNext Oct 31 vs Connecticut
#60
BBMI rank
+20.0
Rating
8.0–4.0
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Connecticut logo
Connecticut
#78 • +20.6 • FBS Independents
SAT OCT 31 • 2:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Air Force
#60 • +20.0 • home
Air Force logo
—
Model line
-1.5
Market line
—
Edge
56%
Outright win probability
Air Force 56%Connecticut 44%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Duquesne logovs Duquesne
W 34–0
Sep 12
North Dakota State logovs North Dakota State
L 32–38#37
Sep 26
Nevada logoat Nevada
W 36–33#10625–2254%
Oct 3
Navy logovs Navy
W 14–9#10529–2776%
Oct 10
Northern Illinois logoat Northern Illinois
W 28–7#13831–1997%
Oct 17
UNLV logovs UNLV
W 41–31#6824–2172%
Oct 23
Wyoming logoat Wyoming
L 14–28#8622–1961%
Oct 31
Connecticut logovs Connecticut
Sat 2:00 PM#7856%
Nov 7
Army logoat Army
Sat 6:30 PM#5539%
Nov 14
San Jose State logovs San Jose State
Sat#9385%†
Nov 20
UTEP logovs UTEP
Fri#13498%†
Nov 28
New Mexico logoat New Mexico
Sat#2717%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#50#60#70#80
#60
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #60, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mountain West1%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.0
678910
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+0.1#70
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.7#80
Yards per play margin+0.95#62
Turnover margin-0.69#100
Strength of schedule+0.1#57

BBMI picks on Air Force

2026 • ATS
3–0
Picks on Air Force
2–0
Picks against
+4.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 5 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.