BBMI Rank · #77 of 138
Air Force
Record 0-0Mountain WestPower rating 19.0
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #70SP+ Off
25.3
70th
YPP diff
0.00
77th
TO margin
0.00
77th
Defense
SP+ #83SP+ Def
27.7
83rd
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.1
66th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Duquesne | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs North Dakota State#73 | -1 | Air Force -1 | 52% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ Nevada#112 | -8 | Air Force -8 | 66% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Navy#62 | +1.5 | Air Force +1.5 | 47% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Northern Illinois#125 | -14 | Air Force -14 | 77% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs UNLV#58 | +3 | Air Force +3 | 43% |
| Oct 23 | 8 | @ Wyoming#106 | -5 | Air Force -5 | 61% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs C Connecticut#107 | -11 | Air Force -11 | 72% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Army#80 | +1.5 | Air Force +1.5 | 47% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs San Jose State#122 | -15 | Air Force -15 | 79% |
| Nov 20 | 12 | vs UTEP#129 | -20 | Air Force -20 | 86% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ New Mexico#68 | +4 | Air Force +4 | 42% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.