
SEC • 2026 SEASON
Tennessee
#16
BBMI rank
+29.7
Rating
9.0–3.0
Proj record
29%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Kentucky
SAT NOV 7 • 5:15 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Tennessee
—
Model line
-6.0
Market line
—
Edge
76%
Outright win probability
Tennessee 76%Kentucky 24%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs FurmanW 56–9
Sep 12
at Georgia TechW 45–24#11031–1471%
Sep 19
vs Kennesaw StateW 42–9#12232–2599%
Sep 26
vs TexasL 17–20#1230–2751%
Oct 3
vs AuburnW 24–14#3632–2583%
Oct 10
at ArkansasW 24–17#7731–2092%
Oct 17
vs AlabamaW 26–10#1025–2736%
Oct 24
at South CarolinaL 24–27#3230–2660%
Nov 7
vs KentuckySat 5:15 PM#476%
Nov 14
at Texas A&MSat#7275%†
Nov 21
vs LSUSat#2054%†
Nov 28
at VanderbiltSat#9697%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#10#15
#16
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win SEC3%
Make the 12-team field29%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal5%
Win the national title1%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.0
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+7.9#17
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.0#18
Yards per play margin+1.00#60
Turnover margin+0.47#27
Strength of schedule+0.6#44
BBMI picks on Tennessee
2026 • ATS3–2
Picks on Tennessee
1–1
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.