BBMI Rank · #59 of 136
Tennessee
Record 8-5SECPower rating 20.9
Quality wins
-1.7
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #8SP+ Off
39.3
8th
YPP diff
+0.57
70th
TO margin
+0.18
34th
Defense
SP+ #63SP+ Def
25.4
63rd
Q-Wins
-1.7
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.1
35th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30 | 1 | N Illinois#14 | L 28–30 | Tennessee +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Vanderbilt#40 | L 24–45 | Tennessee +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ Florida#73 | W 31–11 | Tennessee +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs New Mexico State#112 | W 42–9 | Tennessee -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Oklahoma#10 | L 27–33 | Tennessee +12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Kentucky#83 | W 56–34 | Tennessee +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Alabama#19 | L 20–37 | Tennessee +15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Arkansas#85 | W 34–31 | Tennessee -7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Mississippi State#72 | W 41–34 | Tennessee -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs UAB#126 | W 56–24 | Tennessee -17.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Georgia#3 | L 41–44 | Tennessee +17.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs ETS East Tennessee State Buccaneers | W 72–17 | No line | — |
| Aug 30 | 1 | N Syracuse#132 | W 45–26 | Tennessee -22.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.