Team Pages/SEC/Arkansas
Arkansas logo
SEC • 2026 SEASON

Arkansas

Record 3-4vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 31–21 at VanderbiltNext Oct 31 vs Missouri
#77
BBMI rank
+17.3
Rating
3.8–8.2
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Missouri logo
Missouri
#28 • +26.3 • SEC
SAT OCT 31 • 6:45 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Arkansas
#77 • +17.3 • home
Arkansas logo
—
Model line
+10.0
Market line
—
Edge
18%
Outright win probability
Arkansas 18%Missouri 82%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
North Alabama logovs North Alabama
W 31–14
Sep 12
Utah logoat Utah
L 10–43#825–3821%
Sep 19
Georgia logovs Georgia
L 17–45#719–422%
Sep 26
Tulsa logovs Tulsa
W 34–6#8418–3260%
Oct 3
Texas A&M logoat Texas A&M
L 7–34#7224–298%
Oct 10
Tennessee logovs Tennessee
L 17–24#1620–318%
Oct 17
Vanderbilt logoat Vanderbilt
W 31–21#9623–2439%
Oct 31
Missouri logovs Missouri
Sat 6:45 PM#2818%
Nov 7
Auburn logoat Auburn
Sat 11:45 AM#3632%
Nov 14
South Carolina logovs South Carolina
Sat#3225%†
Nov 21
Texas logoat Texas
Sat#123%†
Nov 28
LSU logovs LSU
Sat#209%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#80
#77
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #77, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win SEC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
3.8
23456
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 4 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+1.2#60
Defense (pts vs avg)+2.4#86
Yards per play margin-0.51#116
Turnover margin+0.66#13
Strength of schedule+1.5#2

BBMI picks on Arkansas

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on Arkansas
2–2
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.