BBMI Rank · #85 of 136
Arkansas
Record 2-10SECPower rating 16.4
Quality wins
-6.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #16SP+ Off
35.8
16th
YPP diff
+0.92
52nd
TO margin
-1.61
128th
Defense
SP+ #99SP+ Def
31.4
99th
Q-Wins
-6.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.8
46th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Missouri#57 | L 17–31 | Arkansas +9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Texas#8 | L 37–52 | Arkansas +30.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ LSU#44 | L 22–23 | Arkansas +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Mississippi State#72 | L 35–38 | Arkansas +5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Auburn#75 | L 24–33 | Arkansas +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Texas A&M#20 | L 42–45 | Arkansas +16.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Tennessee#59 | L 31–34 | Arkansas +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Notre Dame#12 | L 13–56 | Arkansas +20.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Memphis#60 | L 31–32 | Arkansas +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Ole Miss#5 | L 35–41 | Arkansas +27.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Arkansas State#100 | W 56–14 | Arkansas -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs AAB Alabama A&M Bulldogs | W 52–7 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.