Team Pages/American Athletic/Florida Atlantic
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AMERICAN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

Florida Atlantic

Record 5-2vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 51–49 vs RiceNext Oct 29 at North Texas
#81
BBMI rank
+15.9
Rating
6.5–5.5
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
Florida Atlantic logo
Florida Atlantic
#81 • +15.9 • American Athletic
THU OCT 29 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
North Texas
#49 • +19.6 • home
North Texas logo
—
Model line
+14.0
Market line
—
Edge
13%
Outright win probability
Florida Atlantic 13%North Texas 87%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Florida logoat Florida
L 21–66#232%
Sep 12
Navy logovs Navy
W 38–30#10522–5145%
Sep 19
FIU logovs FIU
W 16–10#10928–3679%
Sep 26
Louisiana Monroe logoat Louisiana Monroe
W 45–17#13135–3288%
Oct 3
Texas Southern logovs Texas Southern
W 66–10
Oct 17
Army logoat Army
L 24–56#5527–2753%
Oct 24
Rice logovs Rice
W 51–49#12935–2281%
Oct 29
North Texas logoat North Texas
Thu 6:30 PM#4913%
Nov 5
UTSA logovs UTSA
Thu 6:30 PM#2534%
Nov 14
Tulsa logoat Tulsa
Sat#8421%†
Nov 21
South Florida logovs South Florida
Sat#6149%†
Nov 27
East Carolina logoat East Carolina
Fri#10032%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#80#100
#81
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win American Athletic0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
456789
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+3.6#45
Defense (pts vs avg)+8.0#123
Yards per play margin-1.70#134
Turnover margin-0.63#94
Strength of schedule+0.2#55

BBMI picks on Florida Atlantic

2026 • ATS
2–3
Picks on Florida Atlantic
1–0
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.