Team Pages/Mid-American/Ball State
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MID-AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON

Ball State

Record 3-5vs line 3–4 ATSLast W 34–17 vs Sacramento StateNext Nov 4 at Massachusetts
#119
BBMI rank
+8.6
Rating
4.2–7.8
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
Ball State logo
Ball State
#119 • +8.6 • Mid-American
WED NOV 4 • 6:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Massachusetts
#113 • +14.3 • home
Massachusetts logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
28%
Outright win probability
Ball State 28%Massachusetts 72%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
L 3–56#30%
Sep 12
Stony Brook logovs Stony Brook
W 41–17
Sep 19
Liberty logoat Liberty
L 15–51#3822–253%
Sep 26
Kent State logoat Kent State
L 13–26#12826–2333%
Oct 3
Toledo logovs Toledo
L 24–39#6621–343%
Oct 10
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
L 14–45#1818–311%
Oct 17
Bowling Green logoat Bowling Green
W 32–31#13320–227%
Oct 24
Sacramento State logovs Sacramento State
W 34–17#13627–2069%
Nov 4
Massachusetts logoat Massachusetts
Wed 6:00 PM#11328%
Nov 11
Buffalo logovs Buffalo
Wed#9043%†
Nov 17
Ohio logoat Ohio
Tue#645%†
Nov 28
Central Michigan logovs Central Michigan
Sat#12554%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#120#125#130#135
#119
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 2 to #119, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mid-American0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.2
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-9.0#120
Defense (pts vs avg)+11.2#132
Yards per play margin-0.26#110
Turnover margin-0.81#105
Strength of schedule-0.8#111

BBMI picks on Ball State

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on Ball State
2–3
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.