BBMI Rank · #124 of 136
Ball State
Record 4-8Mid-AmericanPower rating 11.2
Quality wins
0.4
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #134SP+ Off
13.4
134th
YPP diff
-0.08
93rd
TO margin
-0.75
99th
Defense
SP+ #116SP+ Def
34.4
116th
Q-Wins
0.4
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-2.0
134th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Miami (OH)#65 | L 24–45 | Ball State +17.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Toledo#48 | L 9–38 | Ball State +30.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Eastern Michigan#104 | L 9–24 | Ball State -5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 6 | 11 | vs Kent State#116 | W 17–13 | Ball State -8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Northern Illinois#115 | L 7–21 | Ball State +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Akron#89 | W 42–28 | Ball State -3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Western Michigan#49 | L 0–42 | Ball State +26.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Ohio#62 | W 20–14 | Ball State +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ C Connecticut#32 | L 25–31 | Ball State +27.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs NHW New Hampshire Wildcats | W 34–29 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Auburn#75 | L 3–42 | Ball State +13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Purdue#128 | L 0–31 | Ball State +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.