BBMI Rank · #134 of 138
Ball State
Record 0-0MACPower rating 4.5
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #136SP+ Off
12.2
136th
YPP diff
0.00
134th
TO margin
0.00
134th
Defense
SP+ #128SP+ Def
36.7
128th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.7
138th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | @ Ohio State#1 | +59 | Ball State +59 | 0% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Stony Brook | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Liberty#91 | +21 | Ball State +21 | 13% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ Kent State#128 | +7 | Ball State +7 | 35% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Toledo#111 | +11.5 | Ball State +11.5 | 27% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Northwestern#51 | +32 | Ball State +32 | 4% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Bowling Green#117 | +14 | Ball State +14 | 23% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Sacramento State#130 | +0.5 | Ball State +0.5 | 49% |
| Nov 4 | 10 | @ Massachusetts#137 | -3.5 | Ball State -3.5 | 58% |
| Nov 11 | 11 | vs Buffalo#110 | +11.5 | Ball State +11.5 | 27% |
| Nov 17 | 12 | @ Ohio#119 | +13.5 | Ball State +13.5 | 23% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs Central Michigan#114 | +11 | Ball State +11 | 28% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.