BBMI Rank · #102 of 136
Georgia Southern
Record 7-6Sun BeltPower rating 14.5
Quality wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #62SP+ Off
28.3
62nd
YPP diff
-1.23
123rd
TO margin
+0.02
45th
Defense
SP+ #130SP+ Def
37.7
130th
Q-Wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.1
71st
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29 | 1 | N ASM App State Mountaineers | W 29–10 | No line | — |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Marshall#80 | W 24–19 | Georgia Southern +8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Old Dominion#45 | L 10–45 | Georgia Southern +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Coastal Carolina#123 | W 45–40 | Georgia Southern -10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 7 | 11 | @ ASM App State Mountaineers | W 25–23 | No line | — |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Arkansas State#100 | L 24–34 | Georgia Southern +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Georgia State#134 | W 41–24 | Georgia Southern -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 10 | 7 | vs Southern Miss#81 | L 35–38 | Georgia Southern -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ James Madison#37 | L 10–35 | Georgia Southern +15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs MBB Maine Black Bears | W 45–17 | No line | — |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Jacksonville State#64 | W 41–34 | Georgia Southern +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ USC#13 | L 20–59 | Georgia Southern +31.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 31 | 1 | @ Fresno State#36 | L 14–42 | Georgia Southern +15.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.