BBMI Rank · #6 of 136
Ohio State
Record 12-2Big TenPower rating 31.0
Quality wins
11.4
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #13SP+ Off
37.6
13th
YPP diff
+3.26
2nd
TO margin
-0.26
64th
Defense
SP+ #1SP+ Def
7.7
1st
Q-Wins
11.4
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.2
65th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1 | 1 | N Miami (FL)#7 | L 14–24 | Ohio State -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Dec 7 | 15 | N Indiana#1 | L 10–13 | Ohio State +10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Michigan#29 | W 27–9 | Ohio State -9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Rutgers#77 | W 42–9 | Ohio State -23.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 16 | 12 | vs UCLA#118 | W 48–10 | Ohio State -32.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ Purdue#128 | W 34–10 | Ohio State -32.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Penn State#38 | W 38–14 | Ohio State -15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Wisconsin#110 | W 34–0 | Ohio State -25.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Illinois#14 | W 34–16 | Ohio State +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Minnesota#63 | W 42–3 | Ohio State -19.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Washington#24 | W 24–6 | Ohio State -8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Ohio#62 | W 37–9 | Ohio State -19.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs GT Grambling Tigers | W 70–0 | No line | — |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs Texas#8 | W 14–7 | Ohio State -3.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.