BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON
Ohio State
#3
BBMI rank
+34.7
Rating
10.2–1.8
Proj record
93%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Ohio State
SAT OCT 31 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
USC
—
Model line
-6.5
Market line
—
Edge
74%
Outright win probability
Ohio State 74%USC 26%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs Ball StateW 56–3#119100%
vs Ball StateSep 12
at TexasL 23–24#1232–3249%
at TexasSep 19
vs Kent StateW 59–3#12833–17100%
vs Kent StateSep 26
vs IllinoisW 42–19#5228–2298%
vs IllinoisOct 3
at IowaW 31–14#2925–2274%
at IowaOct 10
vs MarylandW 45–16#10434–2399%
vs MarylandOct 17
at IndianaW 19–15#223–2348%
at IndianaOct 31at USCSat 6:30 PM#3374%
at USCNov 7
vs OregonSat 2:30 PM#2296%
vs OregonNov 14
vs NorthwesternSat#1892%†
vs NorthwesternNov 21
at NebraskaSat#2463%†
at NebraskaNov 28
vs MichiganSat#4898%†
vs MichiganWin % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#2#4#6#8
#3
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #3, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Big Ten72%
Make the 12-team field93%
Top-4 seed (bye)51%
Reach the semifinal58%
Win the national title20%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
10.2
89101112
Middle half of the simulations: 10 to 11 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 9 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+12.7#4
Defense (pts vs avg)-15.2#1
Yards per play margin+2.98#5
Turnover margin-0.07#58
Strength of schedule+0.7#36
BBMI picks on Ohio State
2026 • ATS1–2
Picks on Ohio State
0–4
Picks against
-5.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
From the Research Desk
All research →Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.