
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
Utah
#8
BBMI rank
+29.5
Rating
10.7–1.3
Proj record
82%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Utah
SAT OCT 31 • 2:45 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Cincinnati
—
Model line
-6.5
Market line
—
Edge
77%
Outright win probability
Utah 77%Cincinnati 23%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 3
vs IdahoW 66–14
Sep 12
vs ArkansasW 43–10#7738–2579%
Sep 19
vs Utah StateW 33–0#12037–1899%
Sep 26
at Iowa StateW 31–17#9525–2058%
Oct 10
vs KansasW 41–24#7930–2495%
Oct 17
at ColoradoW 27–24#10834–1998%
Oct 24
vs HoustonW 21–13#1133–2375%
Oct 31
at CincinnatiSat 2:45 PM#3977%
Nov 7
vs BYUSat 11:00 AM#970%
Nov 14
at ArizonaSat#1740%†
Nov 21
at TCUSat#6777%†
Nov 27
vs West VirginiaFri#5198%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#10#20#30
#8
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Big 1256%
Make the 12-team field82%
Top-4 seed (bye)36%
Reach the semifinal26%
Win the national title3%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
10.7
8910111213
Middle half of the simulations: 10 to 11 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 9 to 12. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+9.2#13
Defense (pts vs avg)-8.2#22
Yards per play margin+2.17#23
Turnover margin-0.57#93
Strength of schedule+0.9#25
BBMI picks on Utah
2026 • ATS3–1
Picks on Utah
0–2
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.