Team Pages/Mountain West/UNLV
UNLV logo
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

UNLV

Record 4-3vs line 3–4 ATSLast L 31–41 at Air ForceNext Oct 31 vs Northern Illinois
#68
BBMI rank
+19.1
Rating
7.2–4.8
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Northern Illinois logo
Northern Illinois
#138 • +3.0 • Mountain West
SAT OCT 31 • 9:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UNLV
#68 • +19.1 • home
UNLV logo
—
Model line
-24.5
Market line
—
Edge
97%
Outright win probability
UNLV 97%Northern Illinois 3%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
Memphis logovs Memphis
L 21–27#44
Sep 5
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
W 21–6#12332–3053%
Sep 12
North Texas logoat North Texas
L 6–44#4933–1978%
Sep 26
Akron logoat Akron
W 38–10#13523–2588%
Oct 3
California logovs California
W 39–31#8924–2574%
Oct 10
North Dakota State logovs North Dakota State
W 13–7#3718–2627%
Oct 17
Air Force logoat Air Force
L 31–41#6021–2428%
Oct 31
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
Sat 9:30 PM#13897%
Nov 7
Wyoming logovs Wyoming
Sat 9:30 PM#8673%
Nov 14
New Mexico logoat New Mexico
Sat#2713%†
Nov 21
San Jose State logoat San Jose State
Sat#9370%†
Nov 28
Nevada logovs Nevada
Sat#10663%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#70#80
#68
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mountain West4%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
7.2
56789
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-1.2#84
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.7#81
Yards per play margin+0.53#83
Turnover margin-0.31#73
Strength of schedule-0.5#95

BBMI picks on UNLV

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on UNLV
1–2
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.