
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON
UNLV
#68
BBMI rank
+19.1
Rating
7.2–4.8
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Northern Illinois
SAT OCT 31 • 9:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UNLV
—
Model line
-24.5
Market line
—
Edge
97%
Outright win probability
UNLV 97%Northern Illinois 3%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
vs MemphisL 21–27#44
Sep 5
at HawaiiW 21–6#12332–3053%
Sep 12
at North TexasL 6–44#4933–1978%
Sep 26
at AkronW 38–10#13523–2588%
Oct 3
vs CaliforniaW 39–31#8924–2574%
Oct 10
vs North Dakota StateW 13–7#3718–2627%
Oct 17
at Air ForceL 31–41#6021–2428%
Oct 31
vs Northern IllinoisSat 9:30 PM#13897%
Nov 7
vs WyomingSat 9:30 PM#8673%
Nov 14
at New MexicoSat#2713%†
Nov 21
at San Jose StateSat#9370%†
Nov 28
vs NevadaSat#10663%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#60#70#80
#68
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Mountain West4%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
7.2
56789
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-1.2#84
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.7#81
Yards per play margin+0.53#83
Turnover margin-0.31#73
Strength of schedule-0.5#95
BBMI picks on UNLV
2026 • ATS2–2
Picks on UNLV
1–2
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.