
BBMI Rank · #42 of 136
UNLV
Record 10-4Mountain WestPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
1.2
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #25SP+ Off
33.8
25th
YPP diff
+1.51
30th
TO margin
-0.40
79th
Defense
SP+ #89SP+ Def
29.8
89th
Q-Wins
1.2
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.2
66th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24 | 1 | N | L 10–17 | UNLV -3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Dec 6 | 15 | @ | L 21–38 | UNLV +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 30 | 14 | @ | W 42–17 | UNLV -13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs | W 38–10 | UNLV -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 16 | 12 | vs | W 29–26 | UNLV -7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | @ | W 42–10 | UNLV -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs | L 35–40 | UNLV -2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ | L 31–56 | UNLV +7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs | W 51–48 | UNLV -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ | W 31–17 | UNLV -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ | W 41–38 | UNLV -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 7 | 2 | vs | W 30–23 | UNLV -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ | W 38–21 | UNLV -22.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 23 | 1 | vs ISB Idaho State Bengals | W 38–31 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.