BBMI Rank · #51 of 138
Northwestern
Record 0-0Big TenPower rating 22.7
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #78SP+ Off
24.5
78th
YPP diff
0.00
51st
TO margin
0.00
51st
Defense
SP+ #28SP+ Def
20.4
28th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.5
20th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs South Dakota State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Colorado#64 | -5.5 | Northwestern -5.5 | 62% |
| Sep 25 | 4 | @ Indiana#5 | +22 | Northwestern +22 | 12% |
| Oct 2 | 5 | vs Penn State#16 | +9 | Northwestern +9 | 31% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs Ball State#134 | -32 | Northwestern -32 | 96% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Michigan State#66 | -2 | Northwestern -2 | 55% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Rutgers#61 | -5 | Northwestern -5 | 60% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | @ Oregon#2 | +25.5 | Northwestern +25.5 | 8% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Iowa#22 | +7 | Northwestern +7 | 35% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Ohio State#1 | +29 | Northwestern +29 | 6% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Minnesota#50 | +2.5 | Northwestern +2.5 | 44% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs Illinois#32 | +2.5 | Northwestern +2.5 | 44% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.