BBMI Rank · #56 of 136
Northwestern
Record 7-6Big TenPower rating 20.9
Quality wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #91SP+ Off
24.4
91st
YPP diff
+0.95
50th
TO margin
-0.10
55th
Defense
SP+ #30SP+ Def
20.0
30th
Q-Wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.3
27th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26 | 1 | N Central Michigan#82 | W 34–7 | Northwestern -7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 30 | 14 | @ Illinois#14 | L 13–20 | Northwestern +17.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Minnesota#63 | W 38–35 | Northwestern -7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Michigan#29 | L 22–24 | Northwestern -3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ USC#13 | L 17–38 | Northwestern +20.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Nebraska#68 | L 21–28 | Northwestern +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Purdue#128 | W 19–0 | Northwestern -24.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Penn State#38 | W 22–21 | Northwestern +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs LM Louisiana Monroe#131 | W 42–7 | Northwestern -26.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs UCLA#118 | W 17–14 | Northwestern -20.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Oregon#2 | L 14–34 | Northwestern +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 5 | 2 | vs WIL Western Illinois Leathernecks | W 42–7 | No line | — |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Tulane#22 | L 3–23 | Northwestern +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.