BBMI Rank · #132 of 138
Georgia State
Record 0-0Sun BeltPower rating 5.4
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #120SP+ Off
17.0
120th
YPP diff
0.00
132nd
TO margin
0.00
132nd
Defense
SP+ #137SP+ Def
41.4
137th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.7
136th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | 1 | vs North Carolina A&T | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Kennesaw State#105 | +18 | Georgia State +18 | 17% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ UCF#60 | +29.5 | Georgia State +29.5 | 6% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Northern Illinois#125 | +5 | Georgia State +5 | 40% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Old Dominion#92 | +17.5 | Georgia State +17.5 | 18% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ James Madison#76 | +25 | Georgia State +25 | 9% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Arkansas State#99 | +18.5 | Georgia State +18.5 | 16% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Coastal Carolina#118 | +9.5 | Georgia State +9.5 | 31% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Appalachian State#109 | +15 | Georgia State +15 | 21% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Georgia Southern#103 | +14 | Georgia State +14 | 22% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Marshall#90 | +20.5 | Georgia State +20.5 | 13% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs Louisiana#104 | +14 | Georgia State +14 | 23% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.