Team Pages/Sun Belt/Georgia State
Georgia State logo
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON

Georgia State

Record 4-3vs line 2–4 ATSLast L 32–38 at Arkansas StateNext Oct 31 vs Coastal Carolina
#97
BBMI rank
+15.1
Rating
6.5–5.5
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Coastal Carolina logo
Coastal Carolina
#118 • +14.3 • Sun Belt
SAT OCT 31 • 1:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Georgia State
#97 • +15.1 • home
Georgia State logo
—
Model line
-6.0
Market line
—
Edge
74%
Outright win probability
Georgia State 74%Coastal Carolina 26%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 4
North Carolina A&T logovs North Carolina A&T
W 59–10
Sep 12
Kennesaw State logoat Kennesaw State
W 31–17#12229–298%
Sep 19
UCF logoat UCF
L 30–44#4124–241%
Sep 26
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
W 35–14#13835–2072%
Oct 3
Old Dominion logovs Old Dominion
W 42–10#12131–2248%
Oct 17
James Madison logoat James Madison
L 22–49#3026–2913%
Oct 24
Arkansas State logoat Arkansas State
L 32–38#9224–2840%
Oct 31
Coastal Carolina logovs Coastal Carolina
Sat 1:00 PM#11874%
Nov 7
Appalachian State logoat Appalachian State
Sat 1:30 PM#6933%
Nov 14
Georgia Southern logovs Georgia Southern
Sat#8560%†
Nov 21
Marshall logoat Marshall
Sat#9940%†
Nov 28
Louisiana logovs Louisiana
Sat#7446%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#80#100#120
#97
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 2 to #97, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Sun Belt0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
456789
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-0.2#76
Defense (pts vs avg)+9.4#127
Yards per play margin+1.13#53
Turnover margin-1.30#126
Strength of schedule-0.6#98

BBMI picks on Georgia State

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on Georgia State
2–4
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.