BBMI Rank · #134 of 136
Georgia State
Record 1-11Sun BeltPower rating 6.4
Quality wins
-9.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #116SP+ Off
18.6
116th
YPP diff
-1.15
122nd
TO margin
-0.69
97th
Defense
SP+ #134SP+ Def
41.1
134th
Q-Wins
-9.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-2.0
135th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Old Dominion#45 | L 10–27 | Georgia State +33.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Troy#90 | L 19–31 | Georgia State +14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Marshall#80 | L 18–30 | Georgia State +11.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ Coastal Carolina#123 | L 27–40 | Georgia State +11.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 23 | 9 | vs South Alabama#96 | L 31–38 | Georgia State +8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Georgia Southern#102 | L 24–41 | Georgia State +18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs ASM App State Mountaineers | L 20–41 | No line | — |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs James Madison#37 | L 7–14 | Georgia State +20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Vanderbilt#40 | L 21–70 | Georgia State +28.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs MSR Murray State Racers | W 37–21 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Memphis#60 | L 16–38 | Georgia State +17.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Ole Miss#5 | L 7–63 | Georgia State +44.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.