
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON
Georgia State
#97
BBMI rank
+15.1
Rating
6.5–5.5
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Coastal Carolina
SAT OCT 31 • 1:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Georgia State
—
Model line
-6.0
Market line
—
Edge
74%
Outright win probability
Georgia State 74%Coastal Carolina 26%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 4
vs North Carolina A&TW 59–10
Sep 12
at Kennesaw StateW 31–17#12229–298%
Sep 19
at UCFL 30–44#4124–241%
Sep 26
vs Northern IllinoisW 35–14#13835–2072%
Oct 3
vs Old DominionW 42–10#12131–2248%
Oct 17
at James MadisonL 22–49#3026–2913%
Oct 24
at Arkansas StateL 32–38#9224–2840%
Oct 31
vs Coastal CarolinaSat 1:00 PM#11874%
Nov 7
at Appalachian StateSat 1:30 PM#6933%
Nov 14
vs Georgia SouthernSat#8560%†
Nov 21
at MarshallSat#9940%†
Nov 28
vs LouisianaSat#7446%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#80#100#120
#97
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 2 to #97, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Sun Belt0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
456789
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-0.2#76
Defense (pts vs avg)+9.4#127
Yards per play margin+1.13#53
Turnover margin-1.30#126
Strength of schedule-0.6#98
BBMI picks on Georgia State
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on Georgia State
2–4
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.