BBMI Rank · #39 of 138
Boise State
Record 0-0Pac-12Power rating 24.0
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #44SP+ Off
29.9
44th
YPP diff
0.00
39th
TO margin
0.00
39th
Defense
SP+ #46SP+ Def
22.8
46th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.3
95th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | @ Oregon#2 | +23.5 | Boise State +23.5 | 10% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Memphis#70 | -10 | Boise State -10 | 70% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs South Dakota | — | No line | — |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ Western Michigan#98 | -12 | Boise State -12 | 74% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Utah State#97 | -16.5 | Boise State -16.5 | 81% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Fresno State#82 | -7 | Boise State -7 | 65% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Washington State#88 | -10 | Boise State -10 | 71% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Texas State#89 | -14.5 | Boise State -14.5 | 79% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Colorado State#102 | -13 | Boise State -13 | 76% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Oregon State#94 | -15 | Boise State -15 | 79% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs San Diego State#72 | -10 | Boise State -10 | 71% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.