
PAC-12 • 2026 SEASON
Boise State
#19
BBMI rank
+26.2
Rating
9.3–1.7
Proj record
12%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Texas State
SAT OCT 31 • 9:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Boise State
—
Model line
-10.5
Market line
—
Edge
72%
Outright win probability
Boise State 72%Texas State 28%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
at OregonL 27–34#221%
Sep 12
vs MemphisW 38–20#4424–3064%
Sep 19
vs South DakotaW 38–24
Sep 26
at Western MichiganW 32–7#7024–2663%
Oct 3
vs Utah StateW 37–18#12028–1998%
Oct 10
at Fresno StateW 38–31#7523–2354%
Oct 24
at Washington StateW 31–10#13031–1784%
Oct 31
vs Texas StateSat 9:00 PM#8272%
Nov 7
at Colorado StateSat 5:00 PM#11186%
Nov 14
vs Oregon StateSat#4277%†
Nov 21
vs San Diego StateSat#9897%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#20#30#40#50
#19
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Pac-1282%
Make the 12-team field12%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal1%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.3
7891011
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+7.7#18
Defense (pts vs avg)-2.3#51
Yards per play margin+2.31#19
Turnover margin+0.43#29
Strength of schedule+0.1#58
BBMI picks on Boise State
2026 • ATS0–1
Picks on Boise State
1–4
Picks against
-4.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.