Team Pages/Mid-American/Massachusetts
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MID-AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON

Massachusetts

Record 4-4vs line 2–3 ATSLast L 16–35 at ConnecticutNext Nov 4 vs Ball State
#113
BBMI rank
+14.3
Rating
6.1–5.9
Proj record
0%
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Last updated: (data published)
Ball State logo
Ball State
#119 • +8.6 • Mid-American
WED NOV 4 • 6:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Massachusetts
#113 • +14.3 • home
Massachusetts logo
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Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
72%
Outright win probability
Massachusetts 72%Ball State 28%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 3
Rutgers logoat Rutgers
W 37–21#1171%
Sep 12
Sacred Heart logovs Sacred Heart
W 37–10
Sep 19
Stonehill logovs Stonehill
W 36–14
Sep 26
Sacramento State logoat Sacramento State
W 35–6#136
Oct 3
Eastern Michigan logovs Eastern Michigan
L 14–38#11525–1591%
Oct 10
Miami (OH) logovs Miami (OH)
L 19–20#7623–1842%
Oct 17
Buffalo logoat Buffalo
L 18–25#9025–1952%
Oct 23
Connecticut logoat Connecticut
L 16–35#7818–2921%
Nov 4
Ball State logovs Ball State
Wed 6:00 PM#11972%
Nov 11
Toledo logoat Toledo
Wed#6615%†
Nov 18
Akron logovs Akron
Wed#13583%†
Nov 28
Bowling Green logoat Bowling Green
Sat#13340%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#100#120
#113
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #113, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mid-American0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
6.1
45678
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-8.0#116
Defense (pts vs avg)+3.7#99
Yards per play margin+0.56#81
Turnover margin-0.11#59
Strength of schedule-1.3#135

BBMI picks on Massachusetts

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Massachusetts
0–1
Picks against
-1.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 5 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.