BBMI Rank · #66 of 138
Michigan State
Record 0-0Big TenPower rating 20.4
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #61SP+ Off
26.7
61st
YPP diff
0.00
66th
TO margin
0.00
66th
Defense
SP+ #70SP+ Def
25.9
70th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.4
105th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | 1 | vs Toledo#111 | -14 | Michigan State -14 | 77% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Eastern Michigan#121 | -17.5 | Michigan State -17.5 | 83% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Notre Dame#3 | +27.5 | Michigan State +27.5 | 7% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Nebraska#37 | +5.5 | Michigan State +5.5 | 39% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Wisconsin#67 | +3.5 | Michigan State +3.5 | 43% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs Illinois#32 | +7 | Michigan State +7 | 36% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs Northwestern#51 | +2 | Michigan State +2 | 45% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ UCLA#46 | +6.5 | Michigan State +6.5 | 36% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Michigan#17 | +17.5 | Michigan State +17.5 | 17% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Washington#21 | +12 | Michigan State +12 | 26% |
| Nov 20 | 12 | vs Oregon#2 | +26 | Michigan State +26 | 8% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Rutgers#61 | +3.5 | Michigan State +3.5 | 43% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.