
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
BYU
#9
BBMI rank
+29.7
Rating
9.9–2.1
Proj record
73%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Arizona State
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
BYU
—
Model line
-16.5
Market line
—
Edge
91%
Outright win probability
BYU 91%Arizona State 9%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs Utah TechW 63–7
Sep 12
vs ArizonaW 28–17#1732–2282%
Sep 19
at Colorado StateW 41–23#11127–2690%
Oct 3
at TCUW 17–10#6725–2168%
Oct 9
vs Iowa StateW 24–10#9525–2197%
Oct 17
vs Notre DameW 28–24#620–2450%
Oct 24
at UCFL 31–39#4129–1782%
Oct 31
vs Arizona StateSat 2:30 PM#6391%
Nov 7
at UtahSat 11:00 AM#830%
Nov 14
vs BaylorSat#5489%†
Nov 21
at KansasSat#7985%†
Nov 28
vs CincinnatiSat#3989%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#1#5#10#15#20
#9
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Big 1212%
Make the 12-team field73%
Top-4 seed (bye)15%
Reach the semifinal16%
Win the national title2%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.9
89101112
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 9 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+7.4#20
Defense (pts vs avg)-8.3#20
Yards per play margin+2.52#15
Turnover margin-0.69#99
Strength of schedule+0.8#26
BBMI picks on BYU
2026 • ATS5–1
Picks on BYU
0–0
Picks against
+3.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.