
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
Iowa State
#95
BBMI rank
+14.3
Rating
4.0–8.0
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Oklahoma State
SAT OCT 31 • 6:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Iowa State
—
Model line
+9.5
Market line
—
Edge
23%
Outright win probability
Iowa State 23%Oklahoma State 77%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs Southeast Missouri StateW 38–10
Sep 12
at IowaL 13–16#2918–237%
Sep 19
vs Bowling GreenW 55–7#13324–1299%
Sep 26
vs UtahL 17–31#820–2542%
Oct 3
vs West VirginiaW 45–42#5126–2567%
Oct 9
at BYUL 10–24#921–254%
Oct 24
at ArizonaL 3–39#1715–348%
Oct 31
vs Oklahoma StateSat 6:00 PM#2623%
Nov 7
at BaylorSat 11:00 PM#5414%
Nov 14
vs CincinnatiSat#3930%†
Nov 20
at UCFFri#419%†
Nov 28
vs Kansas StateSat#5630%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#60#80
#95
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #95, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
4.0
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-2.9#95
Defense (pts vs avg)-0.7#60
Yards per play margin-1.96#137
Turnover margin-0.29#72
Strength of schedule+0.7#34
BBMI picks on Iowa State
2026 • ATS2–1
Picks on Iowa State
2–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.