BBMI Rank · #17 of 136
Iowa State
Record 8-4Big 12Power rating 25.0
Quality wins
6.8
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #63SP+ Off
28.1
63rd
YPP diff
+0.55
72nd
TO margin
+0.11
39th
Defense
SP+ #26SP+ Def
19.5
26th
Q-Wins
6.8
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.3
26th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Oklahoma State#130 | W 20–13 | Iowa State -22.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Kansas#71 | W 38–14 | Iowa State -15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | @ TCU#21 | W 20–17 | Iowa State +3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Arizona State#69 | L 19–24 | Iowa State -15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs BYU#9 | L 27–41 | Iowa State +0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Colorado#109 | L 17–24 | Iowa State -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Cincinnati#78 | L 30–38 | Iowa State -10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Arizona#35 | W 39–14 | Iowa State -9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Arkansas State#100 | W 24–16 | Iowa State -12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Iowa#18 | W 16–13 | Iowa State -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs SDC South Dakota Coyotes | W 55–7 | No line | — |
| Aug 23 | 1 | N Kansas State#34 | W 24–21 | Iowa State -4.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.