BBMI Rank · #65 of 138
Iowa State
Record 0-0Big 12Power rating 20.6
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #94SP+ Off
22.9
94th
YPP diff
0.00
65th
TO margin
0.00
65th
Defense
SP+ #42SP+ Def
22.4
42nd
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.5
22nd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Iowa#22 | +14.5 | Iowa State +14.5 | 22% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Bowling Green#117 | -16.5 | Iowa State -16.5 | 81% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Utah#25 | +9 | Iowa State +9 | 32% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs West Virginia#63 | -2 | Iowa State -2 | 55% |
| Oct 9 | 6 | @ BYU#18 | +16.5 | Iowa State +16.5 | 19% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Arizona#31 | +11 | Iowa State +11 | 27% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Oklahoma State#38 | +4 | Iowa State +4 | 41% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Baylor#48 | +5.5 | Iowa State +5.5 | 38% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Cincinnati#49 | +1.5 | Iowa State +1.5 | 47% |
| Nov 20 | 12 | @ UCF#60 | +3.5 | Iowa State +3.5 | 43% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs Kansas State#28 | +7.5 | Iowa State +7.5 | 35% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.