Team Pages/Big 12/Iowa State
Iowa State logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Iowa State

Record 3-4vs line 4–2 ATSLast L 3–39 at ArizonaNext Oct 31 vs Oklahoma State
#95
BBMI rank
+14.3
Rating
4.0–8.0
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Oklahoma State logo
Oklahoma State
#26 • +27.6 • Big 12
SAT OCT 31 • 6:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Iowa State
#95 • +14.3 • home
Iowa State logo
—
Model line
+9.5
Market line
—
Edge
23%
Outright win probability
Iowa State 23%Oklahoma State 77%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Southeast Missouri State logovs Southeast Missouri State
W 38–10
Sep 12
Iowa logoat Iowa
L 13–16#2918–237%
Sep 19
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
W 55–7#13324–1299%
Sep 26
Utah logovs Utah
L 17–31#820–2542%
Oct 3
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
W 45–42#5126–2567%
Oct 9
BYU logoat BYU
L 10–24#921–254%
Oct 24
Arizona logoat Arizona
L 3–39#1715–348%
Oct 31
Oklahoma State logovs Oklahoma State
Sat 6:00 PM#2623%
Nov 7
Baylor logoat Baylor
Sat 11:00 PM#5414%
Nov 14
Cincinnati logovs Cincinnati
Sat#3930%†
Nov 20
UCF logoat UCF
Fri#419%†
Nov 28
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
Sat#5630%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#80
#95
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #95, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.0
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-2.9#95
Defense (pts vs avg)-0.7#60
Yards per play margin-1.96#137
Turnover margin-0.29#72
Strength of schedule+0.7#34

BBMI picks on Iowa State

2026 • ATS
2–1
Picks on Iowa State
2–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.