Team Pages/Big 12/Texas Tech
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BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Texas Tech

Record 6-1vs line 2–4 ATSLast L 24–37 at CincinnatiNext Oct 31 vs Arizona
#14
BBMI rank
+28.6
Rating
9.8–2.2
Proj record
57%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Arizona logo
Arizona
#17 • +28.1 • Big 12
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Texas Tech
#14 • +28.6 • home
Texas Tech logo
—
Model line
-3.5
Market line
—
Edge
72%
Outright win probability
Texas Tech 72%Arizona 28%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Abilene Christian logovs Abilene Christian
W 33–10
Sep 12
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
W 35–24#4234–1998%
Sep 18
Houston logovs Houston
W 28–26#1125–3582%
Sep 26
Sam Houston State logovs Sam Houston State
W 49–14#13726–28100%
Oct 3
Colorado logoat Colorado
W 29–7#10832–2393%
Oct 17
Arizona State logovs Arizona State
W 53–25#6330–2497%
Oct 24
Cincinnati logoat Cincinnati
L 24–37#3935–2282%
Oct 31
Arizona logovs Arizona
Sat 11:00 AM#1772%
Nov 7
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
Sat 11:00 PM#5198%
Nov 14
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
Sat#2637%†
Nov 21
Baylor logoat Baylor
Sat#5475%†
Nov 26
TCU logovs TCU
Thu#6789%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#1#5#10#15
#14
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #14, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 1224%
Make the 12-team field57%
Top-4 seed (bye)8%
Reach the semifinal9%
Win the national title1%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.8
789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+9.7#10
Defense (pts vs avg)-7.7#23
Yards per play margin+1.35#44
Turnover margin+0.11#44
Strength of schedule+0.7#39

BBMI picks on Texas Tech

2026 • ATS
2–4
Picks on Texas Tech
0–0
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.