BBMI Rank · #4 of 136
Texas Tech
Record 12-2Big 12Power rating 31.0
Quality wins
11.3
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #7SP+ Off
39.3
7th
YPP diff
+2.33
11th
TO margin
+0.48
22nd
Defense
SP+ #3SP+ Def
12.3
3rd
Q-Wins
11.3
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.6
54th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1 | 1 | N Oregon#2 | L 0–23 | Texas Tech +1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Dec 6 | 15 | N BYU#9 | W 34–7 | Texas Tech -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ West Virginia#105 | W 49–0 | Texas Tech -28.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs UCF#94 | W 48–9 | Texas Tech -27.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vsBYU#9 | W 29–7 | Texas Tech -5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Kansas State#34 | W 43–20 | Texas Tech -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Oklahoma State#130 | W 42–0 | Texas Tech -38.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Arizona State#69 | L 22–26 | Texas Tech -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Kansas#71 | W 42–17 | Texas Tech -21.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Houston#23 | W 35–11 | Texas Tech -13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Utah#39 | W 34–10 | Texas Tech -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Oregon State#117 | W 45–14 | Texas Tech -32.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Kent State#116 | W 62–14 | Texas Tech -32.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs ABG Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W 67–7 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.