BBMI Rank · #35 of 136
Arizona
Record 9-4Big 12Power rating 22.3
Quality wins
-11.9
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #29SP+ Off
33.0
29th
YPP diff
+1.15
44th
TO margin
+1.71
1st
Defense
SP+ #27SP+ Def
19.5
27th
Q-Wins
-11.9
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-1.5
117th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | 1 | N SMU#11 | L 19–24 | Arizona +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Arizona State#69 | W 23–7 | Arizona -3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Baylor#91 | W 41–17 | Arizona -15.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Cincinnati#78 | W 30–24 | Arizona -5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Kansas#71 | W 24–20 | Arizona -9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Colorado#109 | W 52–17 | Arizona -8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Houston#23 | L 28–31 | Arizona +0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 12 | 7 | vs BYU#9 | L 27–33 | Arizona +6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Oklahoma State#130 | W 41–13 | Arizona -26.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Iowa State#17 | L 14–39 | Arizona +9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Kansas State#34 | W 23–17 | Arizona -3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 7 | 2 | vs WSW Weber State Wildcats | W 48–3 | No line | — |
| Aug 31 | 1 | vs Hawaii#46 | W 40–6 | Arizona -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.