Team Pages/Big 12/Arizona
Arizona logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Arizona

Record 6-1vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 39–3 vs Iowa StateNext Oct 31 at Texas Tech
#17
BBMI rank
+28.1
Rating
9.4–2.6
Proj record
23%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Arizona logo
Arizona
#17 • +28.1 • Big 12
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Texas Tech
#14 • +28.6 • home
Texas Tech logo
—
Model line
+3.5
Market line
—
Edge
28%
Outright win probability
Arizona 28%Texas Tech 72%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Northern Arizona logovs Northern Arizona
W 35–7
Sep 12
BYU logoat BYU
L 17–28#922–3218%
Sep 19
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
W 42–17#13827–1799%
Sep 26
Washington State logoat Washington State
W 34–24#13022–1883%
Oct 3
Cincinnati logovs Cincinnati
W 34–7#3926–2864%
Oct 10
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
W 52–31#5130–2784%
Oct 24
Iowa State logovs Iowa State
W 39–3#9534–1592%
Oct 31
Texas Tech logoat Texas Tech
Sat 11:00 AM#1428%
Nov 6
TCU logovs TCU
Fri 9:15 PM#6787%
Nov 14
Utah logovs Utah
Sat#860%†
Nov 21
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
Sat#5665%†
Nov 28
Arizona State logovs Arizona State
Sat#6395%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#20#30#40
#17
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 124%
Make the 12-team field23%
Top-4 seed (bye)1%
Reach the semifinal3%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.4
789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+8.9#14
Defense (pts vs avg)-6.9#24
Yards per play margin+2.77#9
Turnover margin+0.21#36
Strength of schedule+1.1#13

BBMI picks on Arizona

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Arizona
1–1
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.