Team Pages/Big Ten/Wisconsin
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BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Wisconsin

Record 5-2vs line 5–1 ATSLast W 24–7 vs USCNext Oct 31 at Iowa
#31
BBMI rank
+23.3
Rating
8.7–3.3
Proj record
5%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Wisconsin logo
Wisconsin
#31 • +23.3 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Iowa
#29 • +23.8 • home
Iowa logo
—
Model line
+3.5
Market line
—
Edge
37%
Outright win probability
Wisconsin 37%Iowa 63%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 6
Notre Dame logovs Notre Dame
L 13–41#62%
Sep 12
Western Illinois logovs Western Illinois
W 36–9
Sep 19
Eastern Michigan logovs Eastern Michigan
W 54–10#11522–2098%
Sep 26
Penn State logoat Penn State
W 24–20#7319–264%
Oct 3
Michigan State logovs Michigan State
W 31–3#10322–1989%
Oct 17
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 7–17#524–2630%
Oct 24
USC logovs USC
W 24–7#3323–2446%
Oct 31
Iowa logoat Iowa
Sat 11:00 AM#2937%
Nov 7
Rutgers logovs Rutgers
Sat 11:30 AM#11798%
Nov 14
Maryland logoat Maryland
Sat#10493%†
Nov 21
Purdue logoat Purdue
Sat#5363%†
Nov 27
Minnesota logovs Minnesota
Fri#4777%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#30#40#50#60#70
#31
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #31, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field5%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.7
67891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-2.9#93
Defense (pts vs avg)-10.8#9
Yards per play margin+1.83#31
Turnover margin+0.67#11
Strength of schedule-0.1#74

BBMI picks on Wisconsin

2026 • ATS
3–0
Picks on Wisconsin
2–1
Picks against
+3.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.

From the Research Desk

All research →
NCAAF · Season Preview

Can the Badgers Climb Off the Floor? Wisconsin's 2026 Season, by the Numbers

Wisconsin is coming off a 4–8 collapse, the Air Raid finally buried, and a coach on the hot seat. BBMI has started modeling college football and the Badgers are one of the first teams up: 67th nationally, 17th of 18 in the Big Ten, and a projected 5–7 (3–6) that's softer than the record looks: about 5.5 expected wins, four true toss-ups short of a bowl, and a season-closing Axe game that grades as the closest call on the schedule.

#67 nationally · 17th of 18 Big Ten · 5–7 base case · Axe ~53–47 MNJul 20 · 10 min
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.