Team Pages/Sun Belt/South Alabama
South Alabama logo
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON

South Alabama

Record 4-3vs line 3–3 ATSLast L 13–20 at MarshallNext Oct 31 vs Louisiana Tech
#94
BBMI rank
+14.0
Rating
6.1–5.9
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
Louisiana Tech logo
Louisiana Tech
#58 • +19.1 • Sun Belt
SAT OCT 31 • 2:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
South Alabama
#94 • +14.0 • home
South Alabama logo
—
Model line
+5.5
Market line
—
Edge
29%
Outright win probability
South Alabama 29%Louisiana Tech 71%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
SL
vs SE Louisiana
W 39–14
Sep 12
Tulane logoat Tulane
L 24–28#8728–1312%
Sep 19
Ohio logovs Ohio
W 41–36#6434–2576%
Sep 26
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
L 21–45#428–264%
Oct 3
Louisiana Monroe logovs Louisiana Monroe
W 52–35#13136–2789%
Oct 8
Arkansas State logoat Arkansas State
W 56–49#9226–2531%
Oct 20
Marshall logoat Marshall
L 13–20#9934–2851%
Oct 31
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
Sat 2:00 PM#5829%
Nov 7
Louisiana logoat Louisiana
Sat 4:00 PM#7413%
Nov 14
Troy logovs Troy
Sat#12468%†
Nov 21
Southern Miss logoat Southern Miss
Sat#12651%†
Nov 27
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
Fri#6946%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#90#100#110#120
#94
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 3 to #94, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Sun Belt0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
6.1
3456789
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)0.0#74
Defense (pts vs avg)+11.6#133
Yards per play margin-0.12#104
Turnover margin+0.50#25
Strength of schedule-0.6#104

BBMI picks on South Alabama

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on South Alabama
2–2
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.