BBMI Rank · #96 of 136
South Alabama
Record 4-8Sun BeltPower rating 15.2
Quality wins
-4.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #83SP+ Off
25.4
83rd
YPP diff
-1.26
124th
TO margin
+0.51
21st
Defense
SP+ #125SP+ Def
36.0
125th
Q-Wins
-4.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-2.0
132nd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Texas State#54 | L 26–49 | South Alabama +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Southern Miss#81 | W 42–35 | South Alabama +1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ LM Louisiana Monroe#131 | W 26–14 | South Alabama -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Louisiana#92 | L 22–31 | South Alabama -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 23 | 9 | @ Georgia State#134 | W 38–31 | South Alabama -8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 14 | 8 | vs Arkansas State#100 | L 14–15 | South Alabama -2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Troy#90 | L 24–31 | South Alabama -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ North Texas#31 | L 22–36 | South Alabama +16.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Coastal Carolina#123 | L 20–38 | South Alabama -8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Auburn#75 | L 15–31 | South Alabama +6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Tulane#22 | L 31–33 | South Alabama +14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs MSB Morgan State Bears | W 38–21 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.