BBMI Rank · #38 of 136
Penn State
Record 7-6Big TenPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
-2.6
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #17SP+ Off
35.1
17th
YPP diff
+1.43
35th
TO margin
-0.10
54th
Defense
SP+ #23SP+ Def
18.8
23rd
Q-Wins
-2.6
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.8
4th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27 | 1 | N Clemson#28 | W 22–10 | Penn State +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Rutgers#77 | W 40–36 | Penn State -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 23 | 13 | vs Nebraska#68 | W 37–10 | Penn State -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Michigan State#86 | W 28–10 | Penn State -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Indiana#1 | L 24–27 | Penn State +18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Ohio State#6 | L 14–38 | Penn State +15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Iowa#18 | L 24–25 | Penn State +5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Northwestern#56 | L 21–22 | Penn State -9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ UCLA#118 | L 37–42 | Penn State -19.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Oregon#2 | L 24–30 | Penn State +9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs VW Villanova Wildcats | W 52–6 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs F FIU#87 | W 34–0 | Penn State -17.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs Nevada#113 | W 46–11 | Penn State -22.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.