Team Pages/Big Ten/Penn State
Penn State logo
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Penn State

Record 3-4vs line 2–5 ATSLast L 18–21 at MichiganNext Oct 31 vs Purdue
#73
BBMI rank
+20.3
Rating
6.7–5.3
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Purdue logo
Purdue
#53 • +20.1 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 3:15 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Penn State
#73 • +20.3 • home
Penn State logo
—
Model line
-9.5
Market line
—
Edge
86%
Outright win probability
Penn State 86%Purdue 14%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Marshall logovs Marshall
W 45–0#9998%
Sep 12
Temple logoat Temple
W 27–9#11226–1991%
Sep 19
Buffalo logovs Buffalo
W 55–13#9030–16100%
Sep 26
Wisconsin logovs Wisconsin
L 20–24#3126–1997%
Oct 2
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
L 13–34#1824–2165%
Oct 10
USC logovs USC
L 23–31#3326–2564%
Oct 17
Michigan logoat Michigan
L 18–21#4819–1820%
Oct 31
Purdue logovs Purdue
Sat 3:15 PM#5386%
Nov 7
Washington logoat Washington
Sat 11:00 PM#6252%
Nov 14
Minnesota logovs Minnesota
Sat#4757%†
Nov 21
Rutgers logovs Rutgers
Sat#11795%†
Nov 28
Maryland logoat Maryland
Sat#10485%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#20#40#60
#73
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). The rank held, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
6.7
456789
Middle half of the simulations: 6 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+2.4#53
Defense (pts vs avg)-6.1#28
Yards per play margin+0.87#68
Turnover margin-0.68#98
Strength of schedule-0.7#108

BBMI picks on Penn State

2026 • ATS
1–3
Picks on Penn State
1–2
Picks against
-3.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.