BBMI Rank · #16 of 138
Penn State
Record 0-0Big TenPower rating 29.0
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #14SP+ Off
33.6
14th
YPP diff
0.00
16th
TO margin
0.00
16th
Defense
SP+ #23SP+ Def
18.6
23rd
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.6
3rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Marshall#90 | -24 | Penn State -24 | 90% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Temple#100 | -22.5 | Penn State -22.5 | 89% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Buffalo#110 | -29.5 | Penn State -29.5 | 94% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Wisconsin#67 | -16 | Penn State -16 | 80% |
| Oct 2 | 5 | @ Northwestern#51 | -9 | Penn State -9 | 69% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs USC#13 | -1 | Penn State -1 | 52% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Michigan#17 | +2.5 | Penn State +2.5 | 45% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Purdue#79 | -20.5 | Penn State -20.5 | 87% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ Washington#21 | +1 | Penn State +1 | 48% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Minnesota#50 | -12.5 | Penn State -12.5 | 75% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Rutgers#61 | -16 | Penn State -16 | 80% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Maryland#54 | -10 | Penn State -10 | 70% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.