
MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON
Hawaii
#123
BBMI rank
+15.8
Rating
4.1–7.9
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
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Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Hawaii
SAT NOV 7 • 8:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UTEP
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
79%
Outright win probability
Hawaii 79%UTEP 21%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
at StanfordL 27–37#10225–2039%
Sep 5
vs UNLVL 6–21#6830–3247%
Sep 12
vs New Mexico StateW 29–19#11423–3194%
Sep 26
at WyomingL 10–27#8622–2155%
Oct 3
vs San Jose StateL 16–20#9325–2777%
Oct 10
at Arizona StateL 12–30#6326–2926%
Oct 17
vs New MexicoL 10–21#2716–316%
Oct 24
at Northern IllinoisW 56–21#13824–2061%
Nov 7
at UTEPSat 8:30 PM#13479%
Nov 14
vs North Dakota StateSat#3723%†
Nov 21
at NevadaSat#10619%†
Nov 28
vs Sacramento StateSat#13693%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#80#100#120
#123
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #123, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Mountain West0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
4.1
23456
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-7.4#112
Defense (pts vs avg)+2.9#92
Yards per play margin+0.93#65
Turnover margin+0.10#46
Strength of schedule-0.9#119
BBMI picks on Hawaii
2026 • ATS3–2
Picks on Hawaii
2–1
Picks against
+1.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.