Team Pages/Mountain West/Hawaii
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MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

Hawaii

Record 2-6vs line 5–3 ATSLast W 56–21 at Northern IllinoisNext Nov 7 at UTEP
#123
BBMI rank
+15.8
Rating
4.1–7.9
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Hawaii logo
Hawaii
#123 • +15.8 • Mountain West
SAT NOV 7 • 8:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UTEP
#134 • +6.4 • home
UTEP logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
79%
Outright win probability
Hawaii 79%UTEP 21%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 27–37#10225–2039%
Sep 5
UNLV logovs UNLV
L 6–21#6830–3247%
Sep 12
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 29–19#11423–3194%
Sep 26
Wyoming logoat Wyoming
L 10–27#8622–2155%
Oct 3
San Jose State logovs San Jose State
L 16–20#9325–2777%
Oct 10
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
L 12–30#6326–2926%
Oct 17
New Mexico logovs New Mexico
L 10–21#2716–316%
Oct 24
Northern Illinois logoat Northern Illinois
W 56–21#13824–2061%
Nov 7
UTEP logoat UTEP
Sat 8:30 PM#13479%
Nov 14
North Dakota State logovs North Dakota State
Sat#3723%†
Nov 21
Nevada logoat Nevada
Sat#10619%†
Nov 28
Sacramento State logovs Sacramento State
Sat#13693%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#80#100#120
#123
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #123, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mountain West0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.1
23456
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-7.4#112
Defense (pts vs avg)+2.9#92
Yards per play margin+0.93#65
Turnover margin+0.10#46
Strength of schedule-0.9#119

BBMI picks on Hawaii

2026 • ATS
3–2
Picks on Hawaii
2–1
Picks against
+1.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.