BBMI Rank · #46 of 136
Hawaii
Record 9-4Mountain WestPower rating 21.8
Quality wins
-1.8
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #66SP+ Off
27.3
66th
YPP diff
+0.75
59th
TO margin
+0.09
41st
Defense
SP+ #69SP+ Def
27.3
69th
Q-Wins
-1.8
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.7
10th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25 | 1 | vs California#66 | W 35–31 | Hawaii -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 30 | 14 | vs Wyoming#107 | W 27–7 | Hawaii -22.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ UNLV#42 | L 10–38 | Hawaii +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | vs San Diego State#53 | W 38–6 | Hawaii -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 2 | 10 | @ San Jose State#114 | L 38–45 | Hawaii -8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ Colorado State#125 | W 31–19 | Hawaii -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 12 | 7 | vs Utah State#70 | W 44–26 | Hawaii -14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Air Force#95 | W 44–35 | Hawaii -13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | vs Fresno State#36 | L 21–23 | Hawaii -8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 14 | 3 | vs PSV Portland State Vikings | W 23–3 | No line | — |
| Sep 7 | 2 | vs Sam Houston State#133 | W 37–20 | Hawaii -34.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 31 | 1 | @ Arizona#35 | L 6–40 | Hawaii +4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 23 | 1 | vs Stanford#119 | W 23–20 | Hawaii -26.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.