Team Pages/American Athletic/North Texas
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AMERICAN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

North Texas

Record 5-2vs line 4–2 ATSLast W 49–39 at NavyNext Oct 29 vs Florida Atlantic
#49
BBMI rank
+19.6
Rating
8.7–3.3
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Florida Atlantic logo
Florida Atlantic
#81 • +15.9 • American Athletic
THU OCT 29 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
North Texas
#49 • +19.6 • home
North Texas logo
—
Model line
-14.0
Market line
—
Edge
87%
Outright win probability
North Texas 87%Florida Atlantic 13%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Indiana logoat Indiana
L 16–52#21%
Sep 12
UNLV logovs UNLV
W 44–6#6819–3322%
Sep 19
Texas State logoat Texas State
L 35–49#8237–2528%
Sep 26
Houston Christian logovs Houston Christian
W 63–14
Oct 1
Tulsa logoat Tulsa
W 45–44#8427–2713%
Oct 10
Charlotte logovs Charlotte
W 50–10#13238–2599%
Oct 24
Navy logoat Navy
W 49–39#10529–2950%
Oct 29
Florida Atlantic logovs Florida Atlantic
Thu 6:30 PM#8187%
Nov 7
Rice logovs Rice
Sat 3:00 PM#12998%
Nov 14
UTSA logoat UTSA
Sat#2530%†
Nov 21
Tulane logoat Tulane
Sat#8765%†
Nov 28
UAB logovs UAB
Sat#9192%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#60#80#100
#49
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #49, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win American Athletic26%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.7
67891011
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+7.0#26
Defense (pts vs avg)+7.8#119
Yards per play margin+1.48#38
Turnover margin-0.21#65
Strength of schedule-0.6#102

BBMI picks on North Texas

2026 • ATS
2–0
Picks on North Texas
2–2
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.