BBMI Rank · #31 of 136
North Texas
Record 12-2American AthleticPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #1SP+ Off
43.1
1st
YPP diff
+2.43
10th
TO margin
-0.28
65th
Defense
SP+ #78SP+ Def
28.6
78th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.7
85th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27 | 1 | N San Diego State#53 | W 49–47 | North Texas -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Dec 6 | 15 | @ Tulane#22 | L 21–34 | North Texas +9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 28 | 14 | vs Temple#108 | W 52–25 | North Texas -18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ Rice#129 | W 56–24 | North Texas -18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ UAB#126 | W 53–24 | North Texas -18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Navy#41 | W 31–17 | North Texas -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 24 | 9 | @ Charlotte#136 | W 54–20 | North Texas -32.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs U UTSA#33 | W 55–17 | North Texas -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 10 | 7 | vs South Florida#26 | L 36–63 | North Texas -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs South Alabama#96 | W 36–22 | North Texas -16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Army#67 | W 45–38 | North Texas -3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Washington State#58 | W 59–10 | North Texas -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Western Michigan#49 | W 33–30 | North Texas +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 31 | 1 | vs LC Lamar Cardinals | W 51–0 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.