BBMI Rank · #55 of 136
Wake Forest
Record 9-4ACCPower rating 21.1
Quality wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #70SP+ Off
26.6
70th
YPP diff
+1.27
41st
TO margin
-0.94
108th
Defense
SP+ #34SP+ Def
20.9
34th
Q-Wins
-7.1
vs top 25
Sp. teams
—
—
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | 1 | N Mississippi State#72 | W 43–29 | Wake Forest -4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Duke#25 | L 32–49 | Wake Forest +0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Delaware#79 | W 52–14 | Wake Forest -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs North Carolina#111 | W 28–12 | Wake Forest -16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 9 | 11 | @ Virginia#16 | W 16–9 | Wake Forest +8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Florida State#47 | L 7–42 | Wake Forest +14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs SMU#11 | W 13–12 | Wake Forest +7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Oregon State#117 | W 39–14 | Wake Forest -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Virginia Tech#121 | W 30–23 | Wake Forest -14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs Georgia Tech#43 | L 29–30 | Wake Forest -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 11 | 3 | vs NC State#27 | L 24–34 | Wake Forest -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs WCC Western Carolina Catamounts | W 42–10 | No line | — |
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs Kennesaw State#76 | W 10–9 | Wake Forest -8.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.