Team Pages/Sun Belt/Troy
Troy logo
SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON

Troy

Record 3-4vs line 2–4 ATSLast L 14–21 vs Louisiana MonroeNext Oct 29 at James Madison
#124
BBMI rank
+13.4
Rating
4.4–7.6
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Troy logo
Troy
#124 • +13.4 • Sun Belt
THU OCT 29 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
James Madison
#30 • +25.0 • home
James Madison logo
—
Model line
+19.5
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Sam Houston State logovs Sam Houston State
W 24–21#13797%
Sep 12
Alabama State logovs Alabama State
W 34–17
Sep 19
Missouri logoat Missouri
L 17–27#2825–322%
Sep 26
Utah State logoat Utah State
L 10–21#12025–1948%
Oct 6
Southern Miss logovs Southern Miss
W 55–34#12627–2583%
Oct 17
Louisiana logoat Louisiana
L 6–33#7424–2638%
Oct 24
Louisiana Monroe logovs Louisiana Monroe
L 14–21#13137–1891%
Oct 29
James Madison logoat James Madison
Thu 6:30 PM#30Premium
Nov 7
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
Sat 3:00 PM#5832%
Nov 14
South Alabama logoat South Alabama
Sat#9432%†
Nov 21
Georgia Southern logovs Georgia Southern
Sat#8543%†
Nov 28
Arkansas State logoat Arkansas State
Sat#9225%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#90#100#110#120
#124
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #124, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Sun Belt0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.4
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-7.4#113
Defense (pts vs avg)+2.9#93
Yards per play margin+0.56#82
Turnover margin-0.85#107
Strength of schedule-0.3#84

BBMI picks on Troy

2026 • ATS
1–3
Picks on Troy
1–1
Picks against
-2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.