BBMI Rank · #90 of 136
Troy
Record 8-6Sun BeltPower rating 15.6
Quality wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #95SP+ Off
23.6
95th
YPP diff
-1.41
126th
TO margin
-0.09
53rd
Defense
SP+ #85SP+ Def
29.0
85th
Q-Wins
-8.6
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.7
53rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17 | 1 | N Jacksonville State#64 | L 13–17 | Troy +6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Dec 6 | 15 | @ James Madison#37 | L 14–31 | Troy +13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ Southern Miss#81 | W 28–18 | Troy +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Georgia State#134 | W 31–19 | Troy -14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 14 | 12 | @ Old Dominion#45 | L 0–33 | Troy +17.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 2 | 10 | vs Arkansas State#100 | L 10–23 | Troy -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Louisiana#92 | W 35–23 | Troy +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ LM Louisiana Monroe#131 | W 37–14 | Troy -7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 12 | 7 | @ Texas State#54 | W 48–41 | Troy +11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs South Alabama#96 | W 31–24 | Troy +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Buffalo#84 | W 21–17 | Troy +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Memphis#60 | L 7–28 | Troy +8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Clemson#28 | L 16–27 | Troy +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs NC Nicholls Colonels | W 38–20 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.