
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON
Oregon
#2
BBMI rank
+36.3
Rating
9.1–2.9
Proj record
72%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Portland State
FRI SEP 18
published after kickoff
projected score
Oregon
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Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
vs Boise StateW 34–27#4999%
Sep 12
at Oklahoma StateL 31–39#3631–2386%
Sep 18
vs Portland StateFri
Sep 26
at USCSat#1268%
Oct 10
vs UCLASat#4397%
Oct 17
vs NebraskaSat#3296%
Oct 24
at IllinoisSat#3087%
Oct 31
vs NorthwesternSat#4798%
Nov 7
at Ohio StateSat#123%
Nov 14
vs MichiganSat#1891%
Nov 20
at Michigan StateFri#5995%
Nov 28
vs WashingtonSat#2091%
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 136#1#2#3#4
#2
Sep 1Sep 8
2 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The rank held, measured against the ranking published Sep 7.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Win Big Ten27%
Make the 12-team field72%
Top-4 seed (bye)30%
Reach the semifinal40%
Win the national title14%
Regular-season wins
middle half of sims9.1
6789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)+15.4#1
Defense (pts vs avg)-13.9#2
Yards per play margin+1.98#46
Turnover margin-0.12#66
Strength of schedule+1.3#40
BBMI picks on Oregon
2026 • ATS0–1
Picks on Oregon
1–0
Picks against
-0.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 2 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.