Team Pages/Big Ten/Oregon
Oregon logo
BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Oregon

Record 1-1vs line 1–1 ATSLast L 31–39 at Oklahoma StateNext Sep 18 vs Portland State
#2
BBMI rank
+36.3
Rating
9.1–2.9
Proj record
72%
Make CFP
Portland State logo
Portland State
FRI SEP 18
published after kickoff
projected score
Oregon
#2 • +36.3home
Oregon logo
Model line
Market line
Edge
Win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Boise State logovs Boise State
W 34–27#4999%
Sep 12
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 31–39#3631–2386%
Sep 18
Portland State logovs Portland State
Fri
Sep 26
USC logoat USC
Sat#1268%
Oct 10
UCLA logovs UCLA
Sat#4397%
Oct 17
Nebraska logovs Nebraska
Sat#3296%
Oct 24
Illinois logoat Illinois
Sat#3087%
Oct 31
Northwestern logovs Northwestern
Sat#4798%
Nov 7
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
Sat#123%
Nov 14
Michigan logovs Michigan
Sat#1891%
Nov 20
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
Fri#5995%
Nov 28
Washington logovs Washington
Sat#2091%

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 136
#1#2#3#4
#2
Sep 1Sep 8

2 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The rank held, measured against the ranking published Sep 7.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Win Big Ten27%
Make the 12-team field72%
Top-4 seed (bye)30%
Reach the semifinal40%
Win the national title14%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
9.1
6789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 7 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+15.4#1
Defense (pts vs avg)-13.9#2
Yards per play margin+1.98#46
Turnover margin-0.12#66
Strength of schedule+1.3#40

BBMI picks on Oregon

2026 • ATS
01
Picks on Oregon
10
Picks against
-0.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 2 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.