BBMI Rank · #12 of 136
Notre Dame
Record 10-2FBS IndependentsPower rating 27.7
Quality wins
10.8
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #4SP+ Off
40.0
4th
YPP diff
+3.98
1st
TO margin
+0.95
7th
Defense
SP+ #13SP+ Def
16.3
13th
Q-Wins
10.8
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.8
43rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | 14 | @ Stanford#119 | W 49–20 | Notre Dame -20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Syracuse#132 | W 70–7 | Notre Dame -36.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Pittsburgh#50 | W 37–15 | Notre Dame -8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 9 | 11 | vs Navy#41 | W 49–10 | Notre Dame -11.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 1 | 10 | @ Boston College#120 | W 25–10 | Notre Dame -26.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs USC#13 | W 34–24 | Notre Dame -3.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs NC State#27 | W 36–7 | Notre Dame -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Boise State#51 | W 28–7 | Notre Dame -13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Arkansas#85 | W 56–13 | Notre Dame -20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Purdue#128 | W 56–30 | Notre Dame -32.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Texas A&M#20 | L 40–41 | Notre Dame -7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 31 | 1 | @ Miami (FL)#7 | L 24–27 | Notre Dame +8.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.