BBMI Rank · #14 of 136
Illinois
Record 9-4Big TenPower rating 26.4
Quality wins
4.2
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #27SP+ Off
33.3
27th
YPP diff
+1.49
32nd
TO margin
+0.24
31st
Defense
SP+ #41SP+ Def
21.7
41st
Q-Wins
4.2
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.3
25th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30 | 1 | N Tennessee#59 | W 30–28 | Illinois -9.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 30 | 14 | vs Northwestern#56 | W 20–13 | Illinois -17.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ Wisconsin#110 | L 10–27 | Illinois -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | vs Maryland#97 | W 24–6 | Illinois -27.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs Rutgers#77 | W 35–13 | Illinois -23.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Washington#24 | L 25–42 | Illinois -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Ohio State#6 | L 16–34 | Illinois -0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Purdue#128 | W 43–27 | Illinois -24.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs USC#13 | W 34–32 | Illinois -6.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ Indiana#1 | L 10–63 | Illinois +23.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs Western Michigan#49 | W 38–0 | Illinois -16.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Duke#25 | W 45–19 | Illinois -7.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 29 | 1 | vs WIL Western Illinois Leathernecks | W 52–3 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.