Team Pages/Big Ten/Illinois
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BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON

Illinois

Record 4-3vs line 0–6 ATSLast W 21–10 vs OregonNext Oct 31 at Maryland
#52
BBMI rank
+22.6
Rating
5.9–6.1
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
Illinois logo
Illinois
#52 • +22.6 • Big Ten
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Maryland
#104 • +13.5 • home
Maryland logo
—
Model line
-2.5
Market line
—
Edge
68%
Outright win probability
Illinois 68%Maryland 32%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 3
UAB logovs UAB
W 42–23#9199%
Sep 12
Duke logovs Duke
L 27–31#4321–1974%
Sep 19
Southern Illinois logovs Southern Illinois
W 48–10
Sep 26
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
L 19–42#322–282%
Oct 3
Purdue logovs Purdue
L 17–24#5333–2797%
Oct 10
Michigan State logoat Michigan State
W 38–37#10324–2159%
Oct 24
Oregon logovs Oregon
W 21–10#2220–3416%
Oct 31
Maryland logoat Maryland
Sat 11:00 AM#10468%
Nov 6
Nebraska logovs Nebraska
Fri 7:00 PM#2431%
Nov 13
UCLA logoat UCLA
Fri#519%†
Nov 21
Iowa logovs Iowa
Sat#2957%†
Nov 28
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
Sat#1812%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#30#40#50#60#70
#52
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #52, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big Ten0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5.9
345678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+5.2#36
Defense (pts vs avg)-0.4#63
Yards per play margin+0.52#84
Turnover margin-0.37#78
Strength of schedule+1.4#6

BBMI picks on Illinois

2026 • ATS
0–4
Picks on Illinois
0–2
Picks against
-6.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.