BBMI Rank · #32 of 138
Illinois
Record 0-0Big TenPower rating 25.5
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #29SP+ Off
31.5
29th
YPP diff
0.00
32nd
TO margin
0.00
32nd
Defense
SP+ #43SP+ Def
22.7
43rd
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.4
33rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | 1 | vs UAB#124 | -29.5 | Illinois -29.5 | 94% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs Duke#43 | -5.5 | Illinois -5.5 | 62% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Southern Illinois | — | No line | — |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ Ohio State#1 | +24.5 | Illinois +24.5 | 9% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Purdue#79 | -14 | Illinois -14 | 78% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Michigan State#66 | -7 | Illinois -7 | 65% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Oregon#2 | +17 | Illinois +17 | 18% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | @ Maryland#54 | -3.5 | Illinois -3.5 | 57% |
| Nov 6 | 10 | vs Nebraska#37 | -3.5 | Illinois -3.5 | 58% |
| Nov 13 | 11 | @ UCLA#46 | -2 | Illinois -2 | 55% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Iowa#22 | +2.5 | Illinois +2.5 | 45% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Northwestern#51 | -2.5 | Illinois -2.5 | 56% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.