Team Pages/Mountain West/New Mexico
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MOUNTAIN WEST • 2026 SEASON

New Mexico

Record 6-1vs line 4–2 ATSLast W 21–16 vs North Dakota StateNext Oct 31 at San Jose State
#27
BBMI rank
+24.7
Rating
9.7–2.3
Proj record
19%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
New Mexico logo
New Mexico
#27 • +24.7 • Mountain West
SAT OCT 31 • 3:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
San Jose State
#93 • +14.3 • home
San Jose State logo
—
Model line
-14.5
Market line
—
Edge
81%
Outright win probability
New Mexico 81%San Jose State 19%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Central Michigan logovs Central Michigan
W 38–7#12598%
Sep 12
Mercyhurst logovs Mercyhurst
W 70–7
Sep 19
Oklahoma logoat Oklahoma
L 6–14#3428–197%
Sep 26
New Mexico State logoat New Mexico State
W 42–18#11428–2093%
Oct 3
UTEP logovs UTEP
W 61–7#13430–1599%
Oct 17
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
W 21–10#12331–1694%
Oct 24
North Dakota State logovs North Dakota State
W 21–16#3721–1957%
Oct 31
San Jose State logoat San Jose State
Sat 3:00 PM#9381%
Nov 6
Nevada logoat Nevada
Fri 8:00 PM#10665%
Nov 14
UNLV logovs UNLV
Sat#6887%†
Nov 21
Wyoming logoat Wyoming
Sat#8663%†
Nov 28
Air Force logovs Air Force
Sat#6083%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#30#40#50#60
#27
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 2 to #27, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mountain West70%
Make the 12-team field19%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal1%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.7
789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+0.3#68
Defense (pts vs avg)-8.3#21
Yards per play margin+2.51#16
Turnover margin+0.82#7
Strength of schedule0.0#70

BBMI picks on New Mexico

2026 • ATS
4–1
Picks on New Mexico
0–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.