BBMI Rank · #130 of 138
Sacramento State
Record 0-0MACPower rating 5.9
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #127SP+ Off
15.1
127th
YPP diff
0.00
130th
TO margin
0.00
130th
Defense
SP+ #131SP+ Def
37.9
131st
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
—
—
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | @ Eastern Michigan#121 | +9.5 | Sacramento State +9.5 | 30% |
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Fresno State#82 | +22.5 | Sacramento State +22.5 | 11% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs North Dakota State#73 | +19.5 | Sacramento State +19.5 | 15% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Massachusetts#137 | -10 | Sacramento State -10 | 71% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Bowling Green#117 | +11.5 | Sacramento State +11.5 | 27% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | vs Ohio#119 | +7 | Sacramento State +7 | 35% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | @ Ball State#134 | -0.5 | Sacramento State -0.5 | 51% |
| Oct 30 | 9 | vs Kent State#128 | +0.5 | Sacramento State +0.5 | 49% |
| Nov 4 | 10 | vs Toledo#111 | +9 | Sacramento State +9 | 31% |
| Nov 11 | 11 | @ Central Michigan#114 | +12.5 | Sacramento State +12.5 | 25% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ Hawaii#83 | +21 | Sacramento State +21 | 13% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.