Team Pages/Mid-American/Sacramento State
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MID-AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON

Sacramento State

Record 1-7vs line 0–3 ATSLast L 17–34 at Ball StateNext Oct 30 vs Kent State
#136
BBMI rank
+6.0
Rating
1.6–10.4
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

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Last updated: (data published)
Kent State logo
Kent State
#128 • +8.9 • Mid-American
FRI OCT 30 • 9:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Sacramento State
#136 • +6.0 • home
Sacramento State logo
—
Model line
+8.5
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
Eastern Michigan logoat Eastern Michigan
L 17–28#115
Sep 5
Mississippi Valley State logovs Mississippi Valley State
W 52–0
Sep 12
Fresno State logoat Fresno State
L 3–49#75
Sep 19
North Dakota State logovs North Dakota State
L 10–31#37
Sep 26
Massachusetts logovs Massachusetts
L 6–35#113
Oct 10
Bowling Green logoat Bowling Green
L 10–38#13322–1931%
Oct 17
Ohio logovs Ohio
L 7–48#6420–2616%
Oct 24
Ball State logoat Ball State
L 17–34#11920–2731%
Oct 30
Kent State logovs Kent State
Fri 9:30 PM#128Premium
Nov 4
Toledo logovs Toledo
Wed 6:00 PM#662%
Nov 11
Central Michigan logoat Central Michigan
Wed#1259%†
Nov 28
Hawaii logoat Hawaii
Sat#1237%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#132#134#136#138
#136
Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

3 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #136, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mid-American0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
1.6
01234
Middle half of the simulations: 1 to 2 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 1 to 3. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-16.1#138
Defense (pts vs avg)+13.3#137
Yards per play margin-0.52#117
Turnover margin-1.02#113
Strength of schedule-0.4#91

BBMI picks on Sacramento State

2026 • ATS
0–3
Picks on Sacramento State
0–0
Picks against
-3.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 3 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.