BBMI Rank · #21 of 136
TCU
Record 9-4Big 12Power rating 24.5
Quality wins
6.5
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #31SP+ Off
32.9
31st
YPP diff
+0.67
63rd
TO margin
-0.32
70th
Defense
SP+ #50SP+ Def
23.9
50th
Q-Wins
6.5
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.7
84th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31 | 1 | N USC#13 | W 30–27 | TCU +4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Cincinnati#78 | W 45–23 | TCU -16.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Houston#23 | W 17–14 | TCU -2.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 16 | 12 | @ BYU#9 | L 13–44 | TCU +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Iowa State#17 | L 17–20 | TCU -3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ West Virginia#105 | W 23–17 | TCU -17.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Baylor#91 | W 42–36 | TCU -19.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | @ Kansas State#34 | L 28–41 | TCU -3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Colorado#109 | W 35–21 | TCU -22.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Arizona State#69 | L 24–27 | TCU -7.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs SMU#11 | W 35–24 | TCU +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 14 | 3 | vs ACW Abilene Christian Wildcats | W 42–21 | No line | — |
| Sep 2 | 1 | @ North Carolina#111 | W 48–14 | TCU -19.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.