
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
TCU
#67
BBMI rank
+22.4
Rating
4.7–7.3
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Kansas
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
TCU
—
Model line
-5.5
Market line
—
Edge
74%
Outright win probability
TCU 74%Kansas 26%
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim afterLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
vs North CarolinaL 10–15#4625–1973%
Sep 12W 63–7
G
vs GramblingSep 19
vs Arkansas StateW 31–7#9227–2397%
Sep 26
at UCFL 13–21#4123–2356%
Oct 3
vs BYUL 10–17#921–2532%
Oct 17
at BaylorW 17–6#5423–2628%
Oct 24
vs West VirginiaL 20–24#5138–1892%
Oct 31
vs KansasSat 2:30 PM#7974%
Nov 6
at ArizonaFri 9:15 PM#1713%
Nov 14
vs Kansas StateSat#5654%†
Nov 21
vs UtahSat#823%†
Nov 26
at Texas TechThu#1411%†
Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.
Ranking over time
2026 season · place of 138#30#40#50#60
#67
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #67, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
4.7
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense (pts vs avg)-1.2#83
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.4#13
Yards per play margin+1.73#34
Turnover margin-1.07#115
Strength of schedule+1.5#4
BBMI picks on TCU
2026 • ATS1–1
Picks on TCU
3–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.