BBMI Rank · #34 of 138
TCU
Record 0-0Big 12Power rating 25.3
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #31SP+ Off
31.3
31st
YPP diff
0.00
34th
TO margin
0.00
34th
Defense
SP+ #40SP+ Def
21.9
40th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.2
85th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | N North Carolina#56 | -5.5 | TCU -5.5 | 61% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs G Grambling | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Arkansas State#99 | -19.5 | TCU -19.5 | 85% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ UCF#60 | -5 | TCU -5 | 60% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs BYU#18 | +4.5 | TCU +4.5 | 41% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Baylor#48 | -2.5 | TCU -2.5 | 56% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs West Virginia#63 | -10.5 | TCU -10.5 | 71% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Kansas#53 | -7.5 | TCU -7.5 | 66% |
| Nov 6 | 10 | @ Arizona#31 | +3 | TCU +3 | 43% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Kansas State#28 | -0.5 | TCU -0.5 | 52% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | vs Utah#25 | +1 | TCU +1 | 48% |
| Nov 26 | 13 | @ Texas Tech#7 | +16 | TCU +16 | 20% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.