Team Pages/Big 12/TCU
TCU logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

TCU

Record 3-4vs line 4–2 ATSLast L 20–24 vs West VirginiaNext Oct 31 vs Kansas
#67
BBMI rank
+22.4
Rating
4.7–7.3
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Kansas logo
Kansas
#79 • +18.7 • Big 12
SAT OCT 31 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
TCU
#67 • +22.4 • home
TCU logo
—
Model line
-5.5
Market line
—
Edge
74%
Outright win probability
TCU 74%Kansas 26%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
North Carolina logovs North Carolina
L 10–15#4625–1973%
Sep 12
G
vs Grambling
W 63–7
Sep 19
Arkansas State logovs Arkansas State
W 31–7#9227–2397%
Sep 26
UCF logoat UCF
L 13–21#4123–2356%
Oct 3
BYU logovs BYU
L 10–17#921–2532%
Oct 17
Baylor logoat Baylor
W 17–6#5423–2628%
Oct 24
West Virginia logovs West Virginia
L 20–24#5138–1892%
Oct 31
Kansas logovs Kansas
Sat 2:30 PM#7974%
Nov 6
Arizona logoat Arizona
Fri 9:15 PM#1713%
Nov 14
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
Sat#5654%†
Nov 21
Utah logovs Utah
Sat#823%†
Nov 26
Texas Tech logoat Texas Tech
Thu#1411%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#30#40#50#60
#67
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #67, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
4.7
234567
Middle half of the simulations: 4 to 5 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 3 to 6. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-1.2#83
Defense (pts vs avg)-9.4#13
Yards per play margin+1.73#34
Turnover margin-1.07#115
Strength of schedule+1.5#4

BBMI picks on TCU

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on TCU
3–1
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.