Team Pages/Conference USA/Middle Tennessee
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CONFERENCE USA • 2026 SEASON

Middle Tennessee

Record 4-4vs line 3–4 ATSLast L 28–44 vs Kennesaw StateNext Nov 7 vs Western Kentucky
#101
BBMI rank
+13.3
Rating
5.9–6.1
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Western Kentucky logo
Western Kentucky
#116 • +13.8 • Conference USA
SAT NOV 7 • 2:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Middle Tennessee
#101 • +13.3 • home
Middle Tennessee logo
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Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
59%
Outright win probability
Middle Tennessee 59%Western Kentucky 41%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Murray State logovs Murray State
W 38–14
Sep 12
Marshall logoat Marshall
L 26–28#9931–103%
Sep 19
Nevada logovs Nevada
W 27–20#10623–2318%
Sep 26
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 13–23#5723–216%
Oct 3
Kansas logoat Kansas
L 0–55#7923–246%
Oct 13
Delaware logovs Delaware
W 33–30#10721–2255%
Oct 20
FIU logoat FIU
W 26–23#10918–229%
Oct 28
Kennesaw State logovs Kennesaw State
L 28–44#12222–2152%
Nov 7
Western Kentucky logovs Western Kentucky
Sat 2:30 PM#11659%
Nov 14
Liberty logoat Liberty
Sat#385%†
Nov 21
Sam Houston State logoat Sam Houston State
Sat#13754%†
Nov 28
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
Sat#11465%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#90#100#110#120#130
#101
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 9 to #101, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Conference USA0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5.9
345678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-8.4#117
Defense (pts vs avg)+7.8#121
Yards per play margin+0.24#95
Turnover margin+0.07#48
Strength of schedule-0.9#120

BBMI picks on Middle Tennessee

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on Middle Tennessee
2–3
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.