BBMI Rank · #103 of 136
Middle Tennessee
Record 3-9Conference USAPower rating 14.4
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #110SP+ Off
20.4
110th
YPP diff
+0.18
85th
TO margin
+0.29
29th
Defense
SP+ #128SP+ Def
37.0
128th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.5
58th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | @ New Mexico State#112 | W 31–24 | Middle Tennessee +5.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Sam Houston State#133 | W 31–17 | Middle Tennessee -12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Western Kentucky#61 | L 26–42 | Middle Tennessee +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs F FIU#87 | L 30–56 | Middle Tennessee +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 29 | 10 | vs Jacksonville State#64 | L 21–24 | Middle Tennessee +8.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 22 | 9 | @ Delaware#79 | L 28–31 | Middle Tennessee +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 8 | 7 | vs Missouri State#98 | L 20–22 | Middle Tennessee +0.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Kennesaw State#76 | L 16–24 | Middle Tennessee +12.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Marshall#80 | L 28–42 | Middle Tennessee +3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Nevada#113 | W 14–13 | Middle Tennessee +0.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Wisconsin#110 | L 10–42 | Middle Tennessee +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs APG Austin Peay Governors | L 14–34 | No line | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.