BBMI Rank · #135 of 138
Middle Tennessee
Record 0-0Conference USAPower rating 3.9
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #133SP+ Off
13.7
133rd
YPP diff
0.00
135th
TO margin
0.00
135th
Defense
SP+ #134SP+ Def
39.9
134th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.2
58th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | 1 | vs Murray State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 12 | 2 | @ Marshall#90 | +21.5 | Middle Tennessee +21.5 | 12% |
| Sep 19 | 3 | vs Nevada#112 | +12 | Middle Tennessee +12 | 26% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | @ Jacksonville State#96 | +20.5 | Middle Tennessee +20.5 | 14% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | @ Kansas#53 | +31.5 | Middle Tennessee +31.5 | 4% |
| Oct 13 | 7 | vs Delaware#113 | +11 | Middle Tennessee +11 | 28% |
| Oct 20 | 8 | @ F FIU#116 | +14.5 | Middle Tennessee +14.5 | 22% |
| Oct 28 | 9 | vs Kennesaw State#105 | +14.5 | Middle Tennessee +14.5 | 22% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Western Kentucky#85 | +18.5 | Middle Tennessee +18.5 | 16% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | @ Liberty#91 | +21.5 | Middle Tennessee +21.5 | 12% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Sam Houston State#136 | +1.5 | Middle Tennessee +1.5 | 46% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs New Mexico State#123 | +7.5 | Middle Tennessee +7.5 | 34% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.