Team Pages/Mid-American/Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) logo
MID-AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON

Miami (OH)

Record 5-3vs line 4–3 ATSLast W 28–27 at Central MichiganNext Nov 3 vs Buffalo
#76
BBMI rank
+18.3
Rating
7.5–4.5
Proj record
0%
Make CFP
Last updated: (data published)
Buffalo logo
Buffalo
#90 • +13.9 • Mid-American
TUE NOV 3 • 7:00 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Miami (OH)
#76 • +18.3 • home
Miami (OH) logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
81%
Outright win probability
Miami (OH) 81%Buffalo 19%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Pittsburgh logoat Pittsburgh
L 14–59#509%
Sep 12
Holy Cross logovs Holy Cross
W 45–7
Sep 19
Cincinnati logoat Cincinnati
L 31–35#3921–343%
Sep 26
Connecticut logovs Connecticut
W 24–21#7824–3162%
Oct 3
Bowling Green logovs Bowling Green
L 20–24#13325–1798%
Oct 10
Massachusetts logoat Massachusetts
W 20–19#11318–2358%
Oct 17
Akron logovs Akron
W 34–14#13524–2094%
Oct 24
Central Michigan logoat Central Michigan
W 28–27#12523–1668%
Nov 3
Buffalo logovs Buffalo
Tue 7:00 PM#9081%
Nov 10
Ohio logovs Ohio
Tue#6460%†
Nov 17
Kent State logoat Kent State
Tue#12865%†
Nov 24
Western Michigan logoat Western Michigan
Tue#7043%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#80#90#100
#76
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 4 to #76, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Mid-American3%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5678910
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)-3.5#100
Defense (pts vs avg)+1.4#77
Yards per play margin+1.10#55
Turnover margin+0.07#47
Strength of schedule-0.6#100

BBMI picks on Miami (OH)

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Miami (OH)
2–1
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.