Team Pages/ACC/NC State
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ACC • 2026 SEASON

NC State

Record 3-4vs line 3–2 ATSLast L 28–31 at StanfordNext Oct 31 vs California
#88
BBMI rank
+17.9
Rating
5.5–6.5
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
California logo
California
#89 • +13.2 • ACC
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
NC State
#88 • +17.9 • home
NC State logo
—
Model line
-7.0
Market line
—
Edge
78%
Outright win probability
NC State 78%California 22%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Aug 29
Virginia logoat Virginia
L 8–34#8326–2630%
Sep 11
Richmond logovs Richmond
W 73–0
Sep 19
Vanderbilt logoat Vanderbilt
L 31–35#9626–2324%
Sep 26
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
W 41–31#69
Oct 3
Louisville logovs Louisville
W 31–28#4032–3130%
Oct 10
Wake Forest logovs Wake Forest
L 14–38#1329–3045%
Oct 23
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 28–31#10230–2565%
Oct 31
California logovs California
Sat 11:00 AM#8978%
Nov 7
Duke logovs Duke
Sat 11:30 AM#4340%
Nov 14
Syracuse logovs Syracuse
Sat#8065%†
Nov 21
Florida State logoat Florida State
Sat#7127%†
Nov 28
North Carolina logoat North Carolina
Sat#4637%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#50#60#70#80#90
#88
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 2 to #88, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win ACC0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
345678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 4 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+3.5#48
Defense (pts vs avg)+5.1#107
Yards per play margin-1.09#130
Turnover margin-0.13#61
Strength of schedule-0.1#72

BBMI picks on NC State

2026 • ATS
0–1
Picks on NC State
3–1
Picks against
+0.7u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 5 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.