BBMI Rank · #47 of 138
NC State
Record 0-0ACCPower rating 23.1
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #35SP+ Off
30.7
35th
YPP diff
0.00
47th
TO margin
0.00
47th
Defense
SP+ #63SP+ Def
25.3
63rd
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.4
104th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | @ Virginia#41 | +3.5 | NC State +3.5 | 42% |
| Sep 11 | 2 | vs Richmond | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Vanderbilt#30 | +7 | NC State +7 | 35% |
| Sep 26 | 4 | vs Appalachian State#109 | -19 | NC State -19 | 85% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Louisville#26 | +4 | NC State +4 | 41% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | vs Wake Forest#59 | -3.5 | NC State -3.5 | 57% |
| Oct 23 | 8 | @ Stanford#78 | -5 | NC State -5 | 60% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs California#55 | -3 | NC State -3 | 57% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | vs Duke#43 | -1 | NC State -1 | 53% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Syracuse#69 | -7.5 | NC State -7.5 | 66% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Florida State#35 | +6 | NC State +6 | 38% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | @ North Carolina#56 | +1 | NC State +1 | 48% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.