BBMI Rank · #91 of 136
Baylor
Record 5-7Big 12Power rating 15.5
Quality wins
-10.1
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #32SP+ Off
32.8
32nd
YPP diff
+0.48
76th
TO margin
-2.02
134th
Defense
SP+ #110SP+ Def
33.3
110th
Q-Wins
-10.1
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.9
3rd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Houston#23 | L 24–31 | Baylor +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ Arizona#35 | L 17–41 | Baylor +15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 16 | 12 | vs Utah#39 | L 28–55 | Baylor +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 1 | 10 | vs UCF#94 | W 30–3 | Baylor -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Cincinnati#78 | L 20–41 | Baylor +5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ TCU#21 | L 36–42 | Baylor +19.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Kansas State#34 | W 35–34 | Baylor +10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | @ Oklahoma State#130 | W 45–27 | Baylor -6.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs Arizona State#69 | L 24–27 | Baylor +4.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs SB Samford Bulldogs | W 42–7 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ SMU#11 | W 48–45 | Baylor +22.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 30 | 1 | vs Auburn#75 | L 24–38 | Baylor +4.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.