Team Pages/Big 12/Baylor
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BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

Baylor

Record 4-3vs line 4–2 ATSLast L 24–25 at KansasNext Oct 30 at UCF
#54
BBMI rank
+22.9
Rating
5.9–6.1
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Baylor logo
Baylor
#54 • +22.9 • Big 12
FRI OCT 30 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
UCF
#41 • +21.2 • home
UCF logo
—
Model line
+1.5
Market line
—
Edge
49%
Outright win probability
Baylor 49%UCF 51%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
Auburn logovs Auburn
L 16–17#3634%
Sep 12
Prairie View A&M logovs Prairie View A&M
W 44–3
Sep 19
Louisiana Tech logovs Louisiana Tech
W 36–19#5832–3295%
Sep 26
Colorado logovs Colorado
W 23–13#10833–2484%
Oct 3
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
W 55–19#6330–2949%
Oct 17
TCU logovs TCU
L 6–17#6726–2372%
Oct 24
Kansas logoat Kansas
L 24–25#7928–2947%
Oct 30
UCF logoat UCF
Fri 6:30 PM#4149%
Nov 7
Iowa State logovs Iowa State
Sat 11:00 PM#9586%
Nov 14
BYU logoat BYU
Sat#911%†
Nov 21
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
Sat#1425%†
Nov 28
Houston logoat Houston
Sat#1121%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#30#40#50
#54
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Down 1 to #54, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win Big 120%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
5.9
45678
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 6 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 5 to 7. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+1.5#59
Defense (pts vs avg)-5.9#29
Yards per play margin+1.78#33
Turnover margin+0.13#42
Strength of schedule+1.2#11

BBMI picks on Baylor

2026 • ATS
3–2
Picks on Baylor
1–0
Picks against
+1.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.