
BBMI Rank · #125 of 136
Colorado State
Record 2-10Mountain WestPower rating 11.1
Quality wins
1.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #121SP+ Off
17.6
121st
YPP diff
-0.25
96th
TO margin
-0.81
104th
Defense
SP+ #105SP+ Def
32.9
105th
Q-Wins
1.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.3
80th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28 | 14 | vs | L 21–42 | Colorado State +2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 23 | 13 | @ | L 21–49 | Colorado State +26.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ | L 17–20 | Colorado State +20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 9 | 11 | vs | L 10–42 | Colorado State +14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ | L 0–28 | Colorado State +8.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs | L 19–31 | Colorado State +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs | W 49–21 | Colorado State +14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ | L 24–45 | Colorado State +23.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 27 | 5 | vs | L 3–20 | Colorado State +12.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | vs U UTSA#33 | L 16–17 | Colorado State +14.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs NCB Northern Colorado Bears | W 21–17 | No line | — |
| Aug 31 | 1 | @ | L 21–38 | Colorado State +25.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.