BBMI Rank · #26 of 136
South Florida
Record 9-4American AthleticPower rating 23.9
Quality wins
2.7
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #12SP+ Off
37.7
12th
YPP diff
+1.49
31st
TO margin
-0.30
68th
Defense
SP+ #62SP+ Def
25.3
62nd
Q-Wins
2.7
vs top 25
Sp. teams
-0.8
89th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17 | 1 | N Old Dominion#45 | L 10–24 | South Florida -3.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 30 | 14 | vs Rice#129 | W 52–3 | South Florida -32.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | @ UAB#126 | W 48–18 | South Florida -20.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Navy#41 | L 38–41 | South Florida -1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 7 | 11 | vs U UTSA#33 | W 55–23 | South Florida -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | @ Memphis#60 | L 31–34 | South Florida -5.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 18 | 8 | vs Florida Atlantic#122 | W 48–13 | South Florida -29.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 10 | 7 | @ North Texas#31 | W 63–36 | South Florida +1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 3 | 6 | vs Charlotte#136 | W 54–26 | South Florida -40.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | vs SCS South Carolina State Bulldogs | W 63–14 | No line | — |
| Sep 13 | 3 | @ Miami (FL)#7 | L 12–49 | South Florida +14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Florida#73 | W 18–16 | South Florida -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Aug 28 | 1 | vs Boise State#51 | W 34–7 | South Florida -11.5 | ✓ Covered |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.