Team Pages/American Athletic/South Florida
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AMERICAN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

South Florida

Record 5-2vs line 3–3 ATSLast W 29–2 vs Kent StateNext Oct 31 vs UAB
#61
BBMI rank
+20.0
Rating
8.1–3.9
Proj record
0%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
UAB logo
UAB
#91 • +14.7 • American Athletic
SAT OCT 31 • 11:00 AM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
South Florida
#61 • +20.0 • home
South Florida logo
—
Model line
-7.5
Market line
—
Edge
Premium
Outright win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
FIU logovs FIU
W 19–9#10992%
Sep 12
Army logoat Army
W 28–24#5514–2942%
Sep 19
Delaware State logovs Delaware State
W 59–17
Sep 26
Bowling Green logoat Bowling Green
W 14–6#13329–1395%
Oct 3
Temple logovs Temple
L 13–17#11224–1988%
Oct 8
UTSA logoat UTSA
L 24–31#2524–2249%
Oct 17
Kent State logovs Kent State
W 29–2#12824–1597%
Oct 31
UAB logovs UAB
Sat 11:00 AM#91Premium
Nov 6
East Carolina logoat East Carolina
Fri 6:30 PM#10055%
Nov 12
Memphis logovs Memphis
Thu#4446%†
Nov 21
Florida Atlantic logoat Florida Atlantic
Sat#8151%†
Nov 27
Tulane logovs Tulane
Fri#8781%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#55#60#65#70#75
#61
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 2 to #61, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win American Athletic0%
Make the 12-team field0%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
8.1
567891011
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 6 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)0.0#73
Defense (pts vs avg)-1.4#54
Yards per play margin+0.15#98
Turnover margin+0.15#39
Strength of schedule-0.4#93

BBMI picks on South Florida

2026 • ATS
3–3
Picks on South Florida
0–0
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.