BBMI Rank · #56 of 138
North Carolina
Record 0-0ACCPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
0.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #79SP+ Off
24.5
79th
YPP diff
0.00
56th
TO margin
0.00
56th
Defense
SP+ #35SP+ Def
21.1
35th
Q-Wins
0.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.4
35th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 138 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | BBMI line | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | 1 | N TCU#34 | +5.5 | North Carolina +5.5 | 39% |
| Sep 12 | 2 | vs East Tennessee State | — | No line | — |
| Sep 19 | 3 | @ Clemson#23 | +11 | North Carolina +11 | 28% |
| Oct 3 | 5 | vs Notre Dame#3 | +20 | North Carolina +20 | 14% |
| Oct 10 | 6 | @ Pittsburgh#40 | +4.5 | North Carolina +4.5 | 40% |
| Oct 17 | 7 | @ Duke#43 | +4 | North Carolina +4 | 42% |
| Oct 24 | 8 | vs Syracuse#69 | -6.5 | North Carolina -6.5 | 64% |
| Oct 31 | 9 | vs Miami (FL)#8 | +15 | North Carolina +15 | 21% |
| Nov 7 | 10 | @ C Connecticut#107 | -13 | North Carolina -13 | 76% |
| Nov 14 | 11 | vs Louisville#26 | +5 | North Carolina +5 | 39% |
| Nov 21 | 12 | @ Virginia#41 | +5 | North Carolina +5 | 40% |
| Nov 28 | 13 | vs NC State#47 | -1 | North Carolina -1 | 52% |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.