BBMI Rank · #111 of 136
North Carolina
Record 4-8ACCPower rating 13.4
Quality wins
-16.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #124SP+ Off
17.2
124th
YPP diff
+0.75
58th
TO margin
-0.63
93rd
Defense
SP+ #59SP+ Def
25.0
59th
Q-Wins
-16.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+1.2
32nd
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | 14 | @ NC State#27 | L 19–42 | North Carolina +25.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs Duke#25 | L 25–32 | North Carolina +18.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Wake Forest#55 | L 12–28 | North Carolina +16.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 8 | 11 | vs Stanford#119 | W 20–15 | North Carolina -1.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 31 | 10 | @ Syracuse#132 | W 27–10 | North Carolina -9.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 25 | 9 | vs Virginia#16 | L 16–17 | North Carolina +21.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ California#66 | L 18–21 | North Carolina +13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | vs Clemson#28 | L 10–38 | North Carolina +16.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 20 | 4 | @ UCF#94 | L 9–34 | North Carolina +13.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs RS Richmond Spiders | W 41–6 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | @ Charlotte#136 | W 20–3 | North Carolina -17.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 2 | 1 | vs TCU#21 | L 14–48 | North Carolina +19.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.