U
BBMI Rank · #33 of 136
UTSA
Record 7-6American AthleticPower rating 22.3
Quality wins
-2.0
vs top 25
Offense
SP+ #28SP+ Off
33.3
28th
YPP diff
+0.61
68th
TO margin
+0.61
19th
Defense
SP+ #91SP+ Def
30.0
91st
Q-Wins
-2.0
vs top 25
Sp. teams
+0.4
59th
Opponent-adjusted SP+ and yards-per-play differential. Ranks are out of 136 FBS teams; green/red flag values well above or below average. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Final | BBMI pick | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27 | 1 | N F FIU#87 | W 57–20 | UTSA -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 29 | 14 | vs Army#67 | L 24–27 | UTSA -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 22 | 13 | vs East Carolina#30 | W 58–24 | UTSA -13.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Nov 15 | 12 | @ Charlotte#136 | W 28–7 | UTSA -32.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Nov 7 | 11 | @ South Florida#26 | L 23–55 | UTSA +10.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 30 | 10 | vs Tulane#22 | W 48–26 | UTSA -10.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 18 | 8 | @ North Texas#31 | L 17–55 | UTSA +4.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | vs Rice#129 | W 61–13 | UTSA -35.5 | ✓ Covered |
| Oct 4 | 6 | @ Temple#108 | L 21–27 | UTSA -18.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 21 | 4 | @ Colorado State#125 | W 17–16 | UTSA -14.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | vs IWC Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 48–20 | No line | — |
| Sep 6 | 2 | vs Texas State#54 | L 36–43 | UTSA -15.5 | ✗ Lost |
| Aug 30 | 1 | @ Texas A&M#20 | L 24–42 | UTSA +4.5 | ✗ Lost |
How these ratings are built
BBMI football ratings use opponent-adjusted efficiency — every play weighted by the quality of the opponent — plus quality wins and schedule strength. The power rating is the projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, validated walk-forward across two independent seasons.
The schedule’s spreads and picks are the same outputs on the weekly picks page — filtered to one team. Picks are against the spread (totals are display-only), freeze at kickoff, and grade against the final score.