Team Pages/American Athletic/UTSA
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AMERICAN ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON

UTSA

Record 7-1vs line 3–4 ATSLast W 42–19 at TulaneNext Nov 5 at Florida Atlantic
#25
BBMI rank
+22.1
Rating
9.8–2.2
Proj record
26%
Make CFP

Next game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
UTSA logo
UTSA
#25 • +22.1 • American Athletic
THU NOV 5 • 6:30 PM CT
published after kickoff
projected score
Florida Atlantic
#81 • +15.9 • home
Florida Atlantic logo
—
Model line
—
Market line
—
Edge
66%
Outright win probability
UTSA 66%Florida Atlantic 34%

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board where the game is priced, season sim after
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 5
URG
vs UT Rio Grande Valley
W 45–16
Sep 12
Texas State logoat Texas State
W 31–26#8247–1639%
Sep 19
Texas logoat Texas
L 6–30#1230–341%
Sep 26
Colorado State logovs Colorado State
W 59–45#11125–2877%
Oct 3
Rice logoat Rice
W 16–14#12930–2474%
Oct 8
South Florida logovs South Florida
W 31–24#6122–2451%
Oct 17
Navy logovs Navy
W 38–34#10526–2668%
Oct 24
Tulane logoat Tulane
W 42–19#8726–2359%
Nov 5
Florida Atlantic logoat Florida Atlantic
Thu 6:30 PM#8166%
Nov 14
North Texas logovs North Texas
Sat#4970%†
Nov 21
UAB logoat UAB
Sat#9170%†
Nov 28
Tulsa logovs Tulsa
Sat#8473%†

Win % is BBMI's probability that the team wins the game outright, not against the spread. It is the published weekly forecast; † marks an early projection from BBMI ratings for a game not yet on the weekly board; Premium marks a subscriber forecast.

Ranking over time

2026 season · place of 138
#40#60
#25
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 22Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Oct 29

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, then the current board (Oct 29, open circle). Up 1 to #25, measured against the ranking published Oct 26.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win American Athletic46%
Make the 12-team field26%
Top-4 seed (bye)0%
Reach the semifinal0%
Win the national title0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
9.8
789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 5th to the 95th, is 8 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense (pts vs avg)+5.0#39
Defense (pts vs avg)+2.1#82
Yards per play margin+0.52#85
Turnover margin+0.35#32
Strength of schedule-0.3#85

BBMI picks on UTSA

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on UTSA
2–3
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.